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IVZInvesco LtdSell5.7·$33.23+1.59%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

IVZ screens as attractively valued at a forward P/E of 9.7x and PEG of 0.38 and ranks near the top of its peer group on value, but business quality remains below the minimum threshold, the dividend yield carries an unsafe signal, and the price has reached near-term resistance with only 0.4% headroom — a 0.06-to-1 risk/reward that does not support adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Among PeersStable
  • Below Threshold Business QualityImproving
  • Price At Resistance Thin UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Invesco Ltd (IVZ) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.23: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Invesco manages approximately $2.2 trillion in AUM across retail ($1,515.7 billion) and institutional ($654.2 billion) channels, serving clients in more than 120 countries. The company derives substantially all revenues from investment management fees, with higher rates on... Read more

$33.23-12.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#86 of 236 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.90%
IncomeYield2.71%(5y avg 4.18%)Payout56.46%sustainable
Stop $31.36Target $38.20(default +15%)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$33.38+0.4%12 analysts
$38.20our TP
$33.23price
$33.38mean
$29
$39

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.23: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Invesco Ltd

About Invesco Ltd

Invesco ended 2025 with $2.17 trillion in AUM, split across $1,515.7 billion in retail mandates and $654.2 billion in institutional accounts, serving clients in more than 120 countries. By investment capability, the largest AUM blocks are ETFs and index strategies at $630.2 billion, the QQQ franchise at $407.2 billion, fundamental fixed income at $311.5 billion, and fundamental equities at $298.4 billion, with 7,499 employees in over 20 countries at year-end.

Invesco earns revenue through investment management fees scaled to AUM, with higher rates on actively managed equity, balanced, and alternative asset products and lower rates on fixed income, stable value, and ETFs. Retail products reach clients through wirehouses, regional broker-dealers, insurance companies, and banks in the Americas, with independent brokers and direct wealth platforms serving EMEA and APAC. Institutional AUM is distributed to corporate clients, endowments, pension funds, financial institutions, and sovereign wealth funds via dedicated sales forces. The China JV, Invesco Great Wall Fund Management Company, held approximately $132.5 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025 — a position in one of the world's two dominant wealth markets that may be impacted by geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China. The company competes against investment management firms, commercial banks, broker-dealers, hedge funds, and fintech firms, with some competitors holding greater capital resources.

Show full overview

Invesco's Global Liquidity segment, representing $189.7 billion in AUM at year-end, is exposed to institutional investors shifting to direct instruments when yields on comparable money-market alternatives are more attractive — a pattern the 10-K identifies as a recurring outflow risk during periods of rate change. Separately, the company held approximately $1,166.3 million in seed capital and co-investments at December 31, 2025, including CLOs, real estate-related loans, and commercial loans whose valuations fluctuate with interest and default rates. Significant strengthening of the U.S. Dollar relative to the British Pound, Euro, Chinese RMB, or Japanese Yen could weigh on reported revenues tied to non-dollar AUM denominations.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Invesco Ltd's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04

Recent Developments — Invesco Ltd

Generated 2026-09-04T19:02:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-0.6%
Rev Growth20.5%
Beta1.60
Dividend2.71%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$38+14.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWProductInvesco QQQ Trust
    10-K Item 1A: 'we may suffer declines in AUM and revenue, particularly relating to products we advise that track the Nasdaq-100 Index, such as the Invesco QQQ Trust'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.9
Gross Margin
1.9
Current Ratio
2.8
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Operating Margin
8.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.89Resistance $33.66

Price Targets

$31
$38
A.Upside-12.6%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.23: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.36. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.20 (-12.6% upside). Prior stop was $31.36. Stop-loss: $31.36.

What are the risks of investing in IVZ?

Target reached (-12.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is IVZ overvalued or undervalued?

Invesco Ltd trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVZ?

18 analysts cover IVZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Invesco Ltd do?Invesco manages approximately $2.2 trillion in AUM across retail ($1,515.7 billion) and institutional ($654.2 billion)...

Invesco manages approximately $2.2 trillion in AUM across retail ($1,515.7 billion) and institutional ($654.2 billion) channels, serving clients in more than 120 countries. The company derives substantially all revenues from investment management fees, with higher rates on actively managed equity and alternative strategies and lower rates on fixed income and ETFs.

Related stocks: HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) · ADX (ADX) · HTGC (Hercules Capital, Inc.) · AMG (Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.) · BAM (Brookfield Asset Management Inc)
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