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Invesco Ltd (IVZ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.40: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Invesco is an independent global asset manager with ~$2.2T AUM across retail ($1,515.7B) and institutional ($654.2B) channels, serving clients in 120+ countries through active, passive, and alternative strategies. Fee revenue is primarily AUM-based; QQQ/Nasdaq-100-linked... Read more

$26.40+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#52 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.34%
IncomeYield3.25%(5y avg 4.16%)Payout56.46%sustainable
Stop $24.81Target $27.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$29.14+10.4%11 analysts
$27.81our TP
$26.40price
$29.14mean
$32

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.40: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Invesco Ltd

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$11.7B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn-3.7%
ROE-1.5%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta1.57
Dividend3.25%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$17-35.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductInvesco QQQ Trust and Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
    10-K Item 1A: 'we may suffer declines in AUM and revenue, particularly relating to products we advise that track the Nasdaq-100 Index, such as the Invesco QQQ Trust and the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.8
Gross Margin
1.8
Current Ratio
3.3
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Operating Margin
7.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
3.5
Dividend Safety
4.8
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.45Resistance $28.38

Price Targets

$25
$28
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.40: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.81. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.81 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $24.81. Stop-loss: $24.81.

What are the risks of investing in IVZ?

Target reached (-4.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is IVZ overvalued or undervalued?

Invesco Ltd trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVZ?

17 analysts cover IVZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Invesco Ltd do?Invesco is an independent global asset manager with ~$2.2T AUM across retail ($1,515.7B) and institutional ($654.2B)...

Invesco is an independent global asset manager with ~$2.2T AUM across retail ($1,515.7B) and institutional ($654.2B) channels, serving clients in 120+ countries through active, passive, and alternative strategies. Fee revenue is primarily AUM-based; QQQ/Nasdaq-100-linked products represent $407.2B of total AUM and are called out as a specific concentration risk.

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