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IVZInvesco LtdSell5.6·$29.34+1.46%
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Invesco Ltd (IVZ) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.34: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Invesco is an independent global asset manager with ~$2.2T AUM across retail ($1,515.7B) and institutional ($654.2B) channels, serving clients in 120+ countries through active, passive, and alternative strategies. Fee revenue is primarily AUM-based; QQQ/Nasdaq-100-linked... Read more

$29.34-0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#39 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.72%
IncomeYield2.97%(5y avg 4.18%)Payout56.46%sustainable
Stop $27.43Target $29.22(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$29.59+0.9%11 analysts
$29.22our TP
$29.34price
$29.59mean
$26
$33

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.34: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Invesco Ltd

About Invesco Ltd

Invesco ended 2025 with $2.17 trillion in AUM, split across $1,515.7 billion in retail mandates and $654.2 billion in institutional accounts, serving clients in more than 120 countries. By investment capability, the largest AUM blocks are ETFs and index strategies at $630.2 billion, the QQQ franchise at $407.2 billion, fundamental fixed income at $311.5 billion, and fundamental equities at $298.4 billion, with 7,499 employees in over 20 countries at year-end.

Invesco earns revenue through investment management fees scaled to AUM, with higher rates on actively managed equity, balanced, and alternative asset products and lower rates on fixed income, stable value, and ETFs. Retail products reach clients through wirehouses, regional broker-dealers, insurance companies, and banks in the Americas, with independent brokers and direct wealth platforms serving EMEA and APAC. Institutional AUM is distributed to corporate clients, endowments, pension funds, financial institutions, and sovereign wealth funds via dedicated sales forces. The China JV, Invesco Great Wall Fund Management Company, held approximately $132.5 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025 — a position in one of the world's two dominant wealth markets that may be impacted by geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China. The company competes against investment management firms, commercial banks, broker-dealers, hedge funds, and fintech firms, with some competitors holding greater capital resources.

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Invesco's Global Liquidity segment, representing $189.7 billion in AUM at year-end, is exposed to institutional investors shifting to direct instruments when yields on comparable money-market alternatives are more attractive — a pattern the 10-K identifies as a recurring outflow risk during periods of rate change. Separately, the company held approximately $1,166.3 million in seed capital and co-investments at December 31, 2025, including CLOs, real estate-related loans, and commercial loans whose valuations fluctuate with interest and default rates. Significant strengthening of the U.S. Dollar relative to the British Pound, Euro, Chinese RMB, or Japanese Yen could weigh on reported revenues tied to non-dollar AUM denominations.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Invesco Ltd's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Invesco Ltd

Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn-3.7%
ROE-1.5%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta1.59
Dividend2.97%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$17-42.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductInvesco QQQ Trust and Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
    10-K Item 1A: 'we may suffer declines in AUM and revenue, particularly relating to products we advise that track the Nasdaq-100 Index, such as the Invesco QQQ Trust and the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.8
Gross Margin
1.8
Current Ratio
3.3
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Operating Margin
7.6
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.36Resistance $29.82

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.34: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $27.43. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.22 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $27.43. Stop-loss: $27.43.

What are the risks of investing in IVZ?

Target reached (-12.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is IVZ overvalued or undervalued?

Invesco Ltd trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVZ?

17 analysts cover IVZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Invesco Ltd do?Invesco is an independent global asset manager with ~$2.2T AUM across retail ($1,515.7B) and institutional ($654.2B)...

Invesco is an independent global asset manager with ~$2.2T AUM across retail ($1,515.7B) and institutional ($654.2B) channels, serving clients in 120+ countries through active, passive, and alternative strategies. Fee revenue is primarily AUM-based; QQQ/Nasdaq-100-linked products represent $407.2B of total AUM and are called out as a specific concentration risk.

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