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IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.Sell4.8·$35.57+1.83%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

IVT's technical setup is constructive — above all moving averages with a golden cross — and the underlying business posts 36% margins with a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging 58% below consensus and less than 1% upside to the nearest resistance leave the risk/reward at 0.14-to-1, making the setup unrewarding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Persistent Earnings UnderdeliveryStable
  • Technical Momentum At ResistanceStable
  • Strong Underlying Business QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away).

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants,... Read more

$35.57-0.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#19 of 24 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.84%
IncomeYield2.81%Payout68.79%
Stop $34.01Target $35.30(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$35.57+0.0%7 analysts
$35.30our TP
$35.57price
$35.57mean
$33
$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — InvenTrust Properties Corp.

Generated 2026-07-06T06:00:34Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.9% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.4
P/E (Fwd)-99.3
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn35.7%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth11.9%
Beta-6.13
Dividend2.81%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV87%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37.7% of the total annualized base rental income in our retail portfolio was generated by properties located in Texas'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
4.1
P Ocf
6.2
P/OCF: 17.8x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 281.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.36Resistance $36.02

Price Targets

$34
$35
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $34.01. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.30 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $34.01. Stop-loss: $34.01.

What are the risks of investing in IVT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.9% away); Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is IVT overvalued or undervalued?

InvenTrust Properties Corp. trades at a P/E of 25.4 (forward -99.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVT?

12 analysts cover IVT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

What does InvenTrust Properties Corp. do?InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6...

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants, with Texas generating 37.7% of annualized base rental income and approximately 60.6% of ABR from small shop tenants.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.)
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