Skip to main content
IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.Sell5.0·$33.63+0.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

IVT's technical setup is constructive — above all moving averages with a golden cross — and the underlying business posts 36% margins with a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging 58% below consensus and less than 1% upside to the nearest resistance leave the risk/reward at 0.14-to-1, making the setup unrewarding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Persistent Earnings UnderdeliveryDeteriorating
  • Technical Momentum At ResistanceStable
  • Strong Underlying Business QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT) Stock Analysis

SellShortModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants,... Read more

$33.63-3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#23 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.48%
IncomeYield2.98%Payout513.37%
Stop $32.13Target $36.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$37.14+10.4%7 analysts
$36.36our TP
$33.63price
$37.14mean
$41

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)176.6
P/E (Fwd)-86.4
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA19.6
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE0.9%
Rev Growth12.6%
Beta-5.92
Dividend2.98%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37.7% of the total annualized base rental income in our retail portfolio was generated by properties located in Texas'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.2
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.7
P Ocf
6.6
P/OCF: 16.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.48Resistance $37.10

Price Targets

$32
$36
A.Upside-3.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.13. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.36 (-3.9% upside). Prior stop was $32.13. Stop-loss: $32.13.

What are the risks of investing in IVT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is IVT overvalued or undervalued?

InvenTrust Properties Corp. trades at a P/E of 176.6 (forward -86.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVT?

12 analysts cover IVT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $37.

What does InvenTrust Properties Corp. do?InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6...

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants, with Texas generating 37.7% of annualized base rental income and approximately 60.6% of ABR from small shop tenants.

Related stocks: NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · PECO (Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.)
Home Stocks IVT

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat21d agoAnalyst
TradingView14d ago
Kalkine Media19d ago
Kalkine Media19d ago
MarketBeat19d agoEarnings
TipRanks12d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com12d agoEarnings
24/7 Wall St.12d agoEarnings
Business Wire12d agoEarnings
Investing.com South Africa12d ago
MarketBeat12d ago
TradingView14d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance15d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance22d ago
GuruFocus22d agoAnalyst
Benzinga12d agoEarnings
Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga23d agoAnalyst
Benzinga47d agoAnalyst
Benzinga101d agoAnalyst
Loading more...