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Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.10 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.4% away).

Phillips Edison & Company is a grocery-anchored shopping center REIT owning 297 wholly-owned centers plus joint venture interests totaling ~36.7M sq ft across 31 US states. Revenue is primarily lease revenue; as of December 31, 2025 the portfolio was 97.3% leased. The company... Read more

$40.10-0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#15 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $38.69Target $39.90(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$41.77+4.2%13 analysts
$39.90our TP
$40.10price
$41.77mean
$38
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.10 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.58)
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.4% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.3
P/E (Fwd)52.8
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta0.58
Dividend3.26%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicFlorida12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our holdings in Florida and California accounted for 12.3% and 10.5%, respectively, of our ABR'
  • LOWGeographicCalifornia11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our holdings in Florida and California accounted for 12.3% and 10.5%, respectively, of our ABR'
  • MEDIUMTenantanchor Neighbors
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our anchor Neighbors (generally those occupying 10,000 square feet or more) pay a significant portion of the total rent at a property'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.4
Growth Rank
3.0
Value Rank
4.0
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.80Resistance $40.71

Price Targets

$39
$40
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PECO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.10 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $38.69. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.90 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $38.69. Stop-loss: $38.69.

What are the risks of investing in PECO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PECO overvalued or undervalued?

Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.3 (forward 52.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PECO?

20 analysts cover PECO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. do?Phillips Edison & Company is a grocery-anchored shopping center REIT owning 297 wholly-owned centers plus joint venture...

Phillips Edison & Company is a grocery-anchored shopping center REIT owning 297 wholly-owned centers plus joint venture interests totaling ~36.7M sq ft across 31 US states. Revenue is primarily lease revenue; as of December 31, 2025 the portfolio was 97.3% leased. The company focuses on necessity-based retailers anchored by the #1 or #2 grocer by trade area, with approximately 70% of ABR from necessity-based goods and services tenants.

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