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Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.75 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Phillips Edison & Company is a grocery-anchored shopping center REIT owning 297 wholly-owned neighborhood centers across 31 states as of December 31, 2025, anchored primarily by the #1 or #2 grocer by sales in each trade area. Revenues are substantially lease revenues; the... Read more

$39.75-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#17 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.42%
IncomeYield3.31%(5y avg 3.24%)Payout138.11%
Stop $38.59Target $39.79(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$42.23+6.2%13 analysts
$39.79our TP
$39.75price
$42.23mean
$38
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.75 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.7
P/E (Fwd)52.1
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta0.57
Dividend3.31%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicFlorida12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our holdings in Florida and California accounted for 12.3% and 10.5%, respectively, of our ABR'
  • LOWGeographicCalifornia11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our holdings in Florida and California accounted for 12.3% and 10.5%, respectively, of our ABR'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.91Resistance $40.60

Price Targets

$39
$40
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.7% upside)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PECO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.75 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $38.59. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the PECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.79 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $38.59. Stop-loss: $38.59.

What are the risks of investing in PECO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is PECO overvalued or undervalued?

Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.7 (forward 52.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PECO?

20 analysts cover PECO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. do?Phillips Edison & Company is a grocery-anchored shopping center REIT owning 297 wholly-owned neighborhood centers...

Phillips Edison & Company is a grocery-anchored shopping center REIT owning 297 wholly-owned neighborhood centers across 31 states as of December 31, 2025, anchored primarily by the #1 or #2 grocer by sales in each trade area. Revenues are substantially lease revenues; the portfolio was 97.3% leased with ~70% of ABR from necessity-based goods and services tenants.

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