Skip to main content
IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.Sell5.2·$30.07
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

IVT's technical setup is constructive — above all moving averages with a golden cross — and the underlying business posts 36% margins with a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging 58% below consensus and less than 1% upside to the nearest resistance leave the risk/reward at 0.14-to-1, making the setup unrewarding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Persistent Earnings Underdelivery→Stable
  • Technical Momentum At Resistance→Stable
  • Strong Underlying Business Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellShortModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. At $30.07, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants,... Read more

$30.07+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#19 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.00%
IncomeYield3.33%(5y avg 2.68%)Payout513.37%
Stop $28.85Analyst target $31.32(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$36.00+19.7%8 analysts
$31.32Analyst target
$30.07price
$36.00mean
$38

Sell if holding. At $30.07, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)158.3
P/E (Fwd)-135.0
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE0.9%
Rev Growth12.6%
Beta0.86
Dividend3.33%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37.7% of the total annualized base rental income in our retail portfolio was generated by properties located in Texas'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 10 daysDividend: 3.3%
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.01Resistance $30.80

Price Targets

$29
$31
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $30.07, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $28.85. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVT stock price target?

Analyst target: $31.32 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $28.85. Stop-loss: $28.85.

What are the risks of investing in IVT?

Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is IVT overvalued or undervalued?

InvenTrust Properties Corp. trades at a P/E of 158.3 (forward -135.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVT?

12 analysts cover IVT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

What does InvenTrust Properties Corp. do?InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6...

InvenTrust Properties Corp. owns 73 multi-tenant retail properties in Sun Belt markets, totaling approximately 11.6 million square feet of GLA at 95.4% economic occupancy and $20.41 ABR per square foot as of December 31, 2025. The company earns base rent from retail tenants, with Texas generating 37.7% of annualized base rental income and approximately 60.6% of ABR from small shop tenants.

Related stocks: NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · AKR (Acadia Realty Trust)
Home › Stocks › IVT

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat84d agoAnalyst
TradingView77d ago
Kalkine Media82d ago
Kalkine Media82d ago
MarketBeat82d agoEarnings
TipRanks75d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com75d agoEarnings
24/7 Wall St.75d agoEarnings
Business Wire75d agoEarnings
Investing.com South Africa75d ago
MarketBeat75d ago
TradingView78d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance78d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance85d ago
GuruFocus85d agoAnalyst
Benzinga15d ago
Benzinga16d agoEarnings
Benzinga46d agoAnalyst
Benzinga50d agoAnalyst
Benzinga75d agoEarnings
Loading more...