Illinois Tool Works operates a high-quality industrial franchise with 19% operating margins and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9 — among the best in its peer group — and has delivered 4 consecutive EPS beats. The stock is currently trading above its near-term take-profit target, producing an unfavorable asymmetry; the quality thesis is intact, but the current price setup rewards patience rather than new commitment.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins And Quality→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Delivery↑Improving
- Stock Above Take Profit Target↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $290.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away).
The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products and equipment with 88 divisions in 49 countries. As of December 31, 2025, the Company employed approximately 43,000 people.
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $290.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works Inc - Google — Google neutral
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Is Up 8.5% After Raising 2026 Guidance And Boosting Share Buybacks - Yahoo Finance UK — Yahoo Finance UK positive
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Here's Why Illinois Tool Works Stock Popped Higher Today (Hint: The U.S. Manufacturing Sector is in Growth Mode) - The M — The Motley Fool positive
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why - StockStory — StockStory positive
Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-22Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On May 19, 2026, Randall J. Scheuneman, Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer and Principal Accounting Officer of Illinois Tool Works Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $290.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $295.88 (+1.7%), stop $276.17 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $295.88 (-9.7% upside). Target $295.88 (+1.7%), stop $276.17 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $276.17.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5.
Illinois Tool Works Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 23.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover ITW with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $302.
What does Illinois Tool Works Inc. do?The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products...
The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products and equipment with 88 divisions in 49 countries. As of December 31, 2025, the Company employed approximately 43,000 people.