Illinois Tool Works operates a high-quality industrial franchise with 19% operating margins and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9 — among the best in its peer group — and has delivered 4 consecutive EPS beats. The stock is currently trading above its near-term take-profit target, producing an unfavorable asymmetry; the quality thesis is intact, but the current price setup rewards patience rather than new commitment.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins And Quality→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Delivery→Stable
- Stock Above Take Profit Target→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $283.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.
The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products and equipment with 88 divisions in 49 countries. As of December 31, 2025, the Company employed approximately 43,000 people.
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $283.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $283.02 has reached target $279.37. No upside to wait for. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS M&T Bank Corp Acquires 56,821 Shares of Illinois Tool Works Inc. $ITW - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Thursday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW): Emerging as Premier Defensive Play - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-22Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On May 19, 2026, Randall J. Scheuneman, Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer and Principal Accounting Officer of Illinois Tool Works Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $283.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $283.02 has reached target $279.37. No upside to wait for. Target $279.37 (-1.3%), stop $248.38 (−13.9%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $279.37 (-13.9% upside). Target $279.37 (-1.3%), stop $248.38 (−13.9%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Stop-loss: $248.38.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.
Illinois Tool Works Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.7 (forward 23.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover ITW with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $280.
What does Illinois Tool Works Inc. do?The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products...
The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products and equipment with 88 divisions in 49 countries. As of December 31, 2025, the Company employed approximately 43,000 people.