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Crane Company (CR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $176.87, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 7.9%.

Crane Company manufactures highly engineered components for aerospace, defense, space, and process industries across two segments: Aerospace & Advanced Technologies (AAT) and Process Flow Technologies (PFT). Revenue is from selling mission-critical products to government defense... Read more

$176.87+7.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#27 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $164.78Target $191.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$219.67+24.2%9 analysts
$191.11our TP
$176.87price
$219.67mean
$235

Sell if holding. At $176.87, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(5) detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.9%
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.2
P/E (Fwd)23.3
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE16.6%
Rev Growth24.9%
Beta1.18
Dividend0.58%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. sales41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Net sales by destination outside the U.S. from continuing operations were 41% of our consolidated amounts in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Board elected Alejandro (Alex) Alcala as President and CEO effective April 27, 2026. Max Mitchell (current Chairman, President and CEO) will continue as Executive Chairman on Board. Clean succession with named successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-01-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Additional disclosure on Alcala CEO succession (effective April 27, 2026): base salary $950K, target incentive 110%, LTI $4.15M. Mitchell transitions to Executive Chairman. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $166.04Resistance $197.16

Price Targets

$165
$191
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $176.87, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $164.78. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $191.11 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $164.78. Stop-loss: $164.78.

What are the risks of investing in CR?

Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is CR overvalued or undervalued?

Crane Company trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 23.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CR?

18 analysts cover CR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $220.

What does Crane Company do?Crane Company manufactures highly engineered components for aerospace, defense, space, and process industries across...

Crane Company manufactures highly engineered components for aerospace, defense, space, and process industries across two segments: Aerospace & Advanced Technologies (AAT) and Process Flow Technologies (PFT). Revenue is from selling mission-critical products to government defense programs and industrial customers; non-U.S. sales were 41% of consolidated amounts in 2025.

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