Illinois Tool Works operates a high-quality industrial franchise with 19% operating margins and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9 — among the best in its peer group — and has delivered 4 consecutive EPS beats. The stock is currently trading above its near-term take-profit target, producing an unfavorable asymmetry; the quality thesis is intact, but the current price setup rewards patience rather than new commitment.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins And Quality→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Delivery↓Deteriorating
- Stock Above Take Profit Target↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026· older than 90 days
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $293.45 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.2% away).
The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products and equipment with 88 divisions in 49 countries. As of December 31, 2025, the Company employed approximately 43,000 people.
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $293.45 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 30, 2026Recent Developments — Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend — fiscal.ai Oct 30, 2026 positive
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works: Shares Don't Justify An Upgrade Even With Continued Growth (NYSE:ITW) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works Stock Is Falling Tuesday: What's Going On? - Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW) - Benzinga — Benzinga Oct 27, 2026 negative
- NEWS ITW Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Electronics Strength - TradingView — TradingView Oct 27, 2026 positive
- NEWS Illinois Tool Works Q3 Earnings, Revenue Rise; 2026 EPS Guidance Lifted - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 27, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:10Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $293.45 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $279.23. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $255.90 reached (−12.8% from $293.45); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $279.23. Stop-loss: $279.23.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Illinois Tool Works Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 23.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts rate ITW, with a consensus score of 2.7/5. 14 analysts publish price targets averaging $294.
What does Illinois Tool Works Inc. do?The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products...
The Company's ticker symbol is ITW. The Company is a global manufacturer of a diversified range of industrial products and equipment with 88 divisions in 49 countries. As of December 31, 2025, the Company employed approximately 43,000 people.