Ingersoll Rand presents an unusually strong balance sheet — perfect financial health score and free cash flow conversion of 176% — but the current price geometry offers only 9.3% upside against 11.3% potential downside, and the stock remains in a confirmed near-term downtrend, making the setup unfavorable until asymmetry improves.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Balance Sheet Quality→Stable
- Unfavorable Reward Risk Geometry→Stable
- Early Signs Of Momentum Recovery↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. At $84.40, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors.
Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling equipment across two segments — Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. Aftermarket parts, consumables, and services... Read more
Sell if holding. At $84.40, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Ingersoll Rand Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS IR (Ingersoll Rand) posts Q4 2025 earnings beat and 5.8 percent YoY revenue growth, shares dip slightly. - FCF Yield - C — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La positive
- NEWS Ingersoll Rand Q1 EPS Forecast Reduced by Zacks Research - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS IR Trends Q1 2026: Phishing reemerges as top initial access vector, as attacks targeting public administration persist - — Cisco Talos Blog neutral
- NEWS Ingersoll Rand’s (NYSE:IR) Q1 CY2026 Sales Beat Estimates - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicrevenues outside the United States58%10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, 58% of our revenues were from customers in countries outside of the United States'
- HIGHSuppliersingle-source iron castings and motors10-K Item 1A: 'we use single sources of supply for certain iron castings, motors and other select engineered components that are critical in the manufacturing of our products'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $84.40, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $78.90. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $84.03 (-3.7% upside). Prior stop was $78.90. Stop-loss: $78.90.
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Ingersoll Rand Inc. trades at a P/E of 56.6 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover IR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $93.
What does Ingersoll Rand Inc. do?Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling...
Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling equipment across two segments — Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. Aftermarket parts, consumables, and services represented 36.5% of 2025 total revenue from an installed base served by over 60 manufacturing facilities and 21,000 employees worldwide. No single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 consolidated revenues.