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IDAIDACORP, Inc.Sell4.5·$143.13+0.13%
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IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. At $143.13, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Idaho (95.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: IPUC.

Idaho Power, IDACORP's principal subsidiary, generates and distributes electricity to approximately 664,000 retail customers across a 24,000-square-mile service territory in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. Revenue is earned through cost-of-service retail rates authorized by... Read more

$143.13-1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#37 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-13.14%
IncomeYield2.45%(5y avg 2.92%)Payout57.90%sustainable
Stop $137.29Target $141.55(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$152.10+6.3%10 analysts
$141.55our TP
$143.13price
$152.10mean
$121
$167

Sell if holding. At $143.13, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Idaho (95.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: IPUC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About IDACORP, Inc.

About IDACORP, Inc.

Idaho Power served approximately 664,000 retail customers across southern Idaho and eastern Oregon in 2025, generating $1.81 billion in total electric utility operating revenues, of which $1.56 billion came from retail sales. About 95 percent of retail revenue originated from Idaho customers. The company's generation in 2025 was 52% hydropower from 17 Snake River projects with combined nameplate capacity of 1,818 MW, 27% natural gas-fired, and 21% from jointly-owned coal and gas thermal plants.

Idaho Power earns revenue through cost-of-service retail rates authorized by the Idaho Public Utilities Commission and the Oregon Public Utility Commission, with rate design intended to provide an opportunity to recover prudently incurred costs and earn a reasonable return. In 2025, residential revenue was $708 million, commercial $394 million, industrial $271 million, and irrigation $198 million; wholesale energy sales added $56 million. Power cost adjustment mechanisms in both Idaho and Oregon jurisdictions defer or return most differences between actual net power supply costs and amounts in current rates, mitigating earnings exposure from hydropower variability and fuel price swings though not the associated cash flow impact. Natural gas for Idaho, Wyoming, and Nevada plants is transported under long-term agreements with Williams-Northwest Pipeline, Williams-Mt. West Overthrust Pipeline, and Tallgrass-Ruby Pipeline. Idaho Power filed general rate cases in Idaho in 2023, 2024, and 2025 and in Oregon in 2023, reflecting ongoing infrastructure investment and the regulatory lag inherent in cost-of-service ratemaking.

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Idaho Power converted Jim Bridger generating units 1 and 2 from coal to natural gas in spring 2024 and plans to convert the remaining two Jim Bridger units by 2030, while conversion of North Valmy unit 2 is expected to be completed by mid-2026. The coal supply agreement with BCC for Jim Bridger runs through 2027. In February 2026, Idaho Power entered a definitive agreement to sell its Oregon electric distribution business and associated assets to OTEC. The IPUC and OPUC must approve any adjustments to plant retirement dates, and costs incurred during plant conversions may not be fully recoverable if regulators determine they were imprudently incurred.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

From IDACORP, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Idaho (95.0%)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: IPUC
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.8
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$7.9B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn18.6%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth-6.7%
Beta0.49
Dividend2.45%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$155+8.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicIdaho95%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 95 percent of Idaho Power's retail revenue originates from customers located in Idaho, with the remainder originating from customers located in Oregon'
  • HIGHregulatoryIPUC
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 95 percent of Idaho Power's retail revenue originates from customers located in Idaho ... Idaho Power is under the jurisdiction...of the IPUC, OPUC, and FERC'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
4.0
Declining revenue: -7%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
6.0
Best-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $134.62Resistance $144.44

Price Targets

$137
$142
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $143.13, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Idaho (95.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: IPUC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $137.29. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $141.55 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $137.29. Stop-loss: $137.29.

What are the risks of investing in IDA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Idaho (95.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: IPUC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is IDA overvalued or undervalued?

IDACORP, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.8 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IDA?

13 analysts cover IDA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $152.

What does IDACORP, Inc. do?Idaho Power, IDACORP's principal subsidiary, generates and distributes electricity to approximately 664,000 retail...

Idaho Power, IDACORP's principal subsidiary, generates and distributes electricity to approximately 664,000 retail customers across a 24,000-square-mile service territory in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. Revenue is earned through cost-of-service retail rates authorized by the IPUC and OPUC, plus wholesale energy sales and transmission fees, with total electric utility operating revenues of $1.81 billion in 2025. About 95% of retail revenue originates from Idaho customers.

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