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IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.Sell6.2·$92.15+0.80%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business operates a high-quality franchise with a wide economic moat and strong margins, but the stock has effectively reached its resistance target, leaving near-zero upside against meaningful downside — the risk/reward geometry currently does not support new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Stretched Valuation Limits Margin SafetyDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat Durable MarginsImproving
  • Earnings Beat Streak Near ReportStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $92.15 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5.

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries for roughly 4.4 million customers. Commissions, net interest on margin loans and... Read more

$92.15+0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#23 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.38%(5y avg 0.51%)Payout13.00%sustainable
Stop $85.84Target $92.34(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$106.13+15.2%12 analysts
$92.34our TP
$92.15price
$106.13mean
$70
$121

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $92.15 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.4
P/E (Fwd)28.7
Mkt Cap$155.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE24.0%
Rev Growth26.3%
Beta1.34
Dividend0.38%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicoutside the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 30% of our net revenues were generated by our operating subsidiaries outside the U.S.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Pe
3.5
Forward Pe
4.3
Peg Ratio
4.8
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 28.7xPEG: 1.74

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
5.7
Quality Rank
6.6
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotNEWS LEGALMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $85.37Resistance $95.55

Price Targets

$86
$92
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IBKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $92.15 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $85.84. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IBKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.34 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $85.84. Stop-loss: $85.84.

What are the risks of investing in IBKR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Expensive valuation.

Is IBKR overvalued or undervalued?

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.4 (forward 28.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IBKR?

20 analysts cover IBKR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. do?Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures,...

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries for roughly 4.4 million customers. Commissions, net interest on margin loans and cash balances, and securities lending fees are the primary revenue sources, serving hedge funds, ETFs, registered investment advisors, introducing brokers, and individuals. The company joined the S&P 500 in August 2025 with 3,182 employees.

Related stocks: MS (Morgan Stanley) · NMR (Nomura Holdings Inc) · LPLA (LPL Financial Holdings Inc.) · SCHW (Charles Schwab Corporation (The) · GS (Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The))
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