Skip to main content
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$84.14
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business operates a high-quality franchise with a wide economic moat and strong margins, but the stock has effectively reached its resistance target, leaving near-zero upside against meaningful downside — the risk/reward geometry currently does not support new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Stretched Valuation Limits Margin Safety↑Improving
  • Wide Moat Durable Margins→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Near Report→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Earnings in 0 days (2026-10-15). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $81.47. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $84.14. Engine's entry $81.47 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Expensive valuation.

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries for roughly 4.4 million customers. Commissions, net interest on margin loans and... Read more

$84.14+11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#22 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield0.40%(5y avg 0.47%)Payout13.00%sustainable
Entry $81.47(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $76.59Target $93.63(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$104.04+23.6%16 analysts
$93.63our TP
$84.14price
$104.04mean
$70
$121

Wait for pullback to $81.47. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $84.14. Engine's entry $81.47 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 15, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
High-quality business
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.4
P/E (Fwd)25.8
Mkt Cap$143.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE24.0%
Rev Growth26.3%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.40%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$50-40.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicoutside the U.S.30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 30% of our net revenues were generated by our operating subsidiaries outside the U.S.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.7
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.60Resistance $93.94

Price Targets

$77
$81
$94
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-15 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IBKR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $81.47. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $84.14. Engine's entry $81.47 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $93.63 (+11.3%), stop $76.59 (−9.9%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IBKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.63 (+11.3% upside). Target $93.63 (+11.3%), stop $76.59 (−9.9%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $76.59.

What are the risks of investing in IBKR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is IBKR overvalued or undervalued?

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.4 (forward 25.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IBKR?

21 analysts cover IBKR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $104.

What does Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. do?Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures,...

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker executing and clearing trades in stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries for roughly 4.4 million customers. Commissions, net interest on margin loans and cash balances, and securities lending fees are the primary revenue sources, serving hedge funds, ETFs, registered investment advisors, introducing brokers, and individuals. The company joined the S&P 500 in August 2025 with 3,182 employees.

Related stocks: GS (Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)) · LPLA (LPL Financial Holdings Inc.) · NMR (Nomura Holdings Inc) · SCHW (Charles Schwab Corporation (The) · MS (Morgan Stanley)
Home › Stocks › IBKR

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey15h agoCONCERN
TradingView85d agoAnalyst
The Motley Fool85d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance92d ago
Yahoo Finance92d ago
Marketscreener.com92d ago
Seeking Alpha92d ago
MarketBeat183d ago
Investing.com183d ago
GuruFocus14h ago
TradingView21h agoEarnings
The Motley Fool1d agoEarnings
GuruFocus8d ago
TradingKey8d ago
24/7 Wall St.8d ago
MarketBeat8d ago
GuruFocus86d ago
Quiver Quantitative86d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha86d ago
Marketscreener.com86d agoEarnings
Loading more...