Nomura Holdings trades at an attractive forward P/E of 15.7x with strong 28% revenue growth and superior peer-relative valuation, but three consecutive earnings misses and a price already above analyst consensus make the risk-reward unfavorable at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
- High Leverage Penalty→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Financial Services · Capital Markets
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away).
Nomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients worldwide. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The Wealth Management... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Nomura Holdings Inc
Latest news
- NEWS Earnings Preview: NMR to Report Financial Results Pre-market on April 24 - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
- NEWS Earnings Preview: NMR to Report Financial Results Pre-market on April 24 - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 neutral
- NEWS Nomura (NYSE: NMR) cancels 75M shares and advances ¥60B buyback - Stock Titan — Stock Titan positive
- NEWS NMR Nomura Holdings Earnings Preview April 24, 2026 - Meyka — Meyka neutral
- NEWS Bruker (BRKR) Unveils Innovative NMR Products at Experimental Co - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-07-07T11:31:44Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.87. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $9.15 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $8.87. Stop-loss: $8.87.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5.
Nomura Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover NMR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $10.
What does Nomura Holdings Inc do?Nomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual,...
Nomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients worldwide. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The Wealth Management segment offers asset management services. The Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment solutions, such as establishing and managing investment trusts, discretionary investment services, investment and management for investment vehicles, funds for institutional investors, and management of silent partnerships. The Wholesale segment is involved in the sales and trading of debt and equity securities, foreign exchange; offers investment banking services, including underwriting and distribution of debt and equity securities, mergers and acquisitions, and financial advisory services. Nomura Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.