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MSMorgan StanleySell6.1·$220.83+1.31%
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $220.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.1% away).

Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm serving corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals through three segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The firm operates globally from New York headquarters and... Read more

$220.83-1.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#16 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.84%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout35.55%sustainable
Stop $208.91Target $217.85(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$203.67-7.8%21 analysts
$217.85our TP
$220.83price
$203.67mean
$165
$230

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $220.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$343.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.8%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth16.3%
Beta1.22
Dividend1.84%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV42%normal
Max Pain$50-77.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.3
Value Rank
4.6
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $188.94Resistance $222.30

Price Targets

$209
$218
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $220.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $208.91. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $217.85 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $208.91. Stop-loss: $208.91.

What are the risks of investing in MS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5.

Is MS overvalued or undervalued?

Morgan Stanley trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MS?

32 analysts cover MS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $204.

What does Morgan Stanley do?Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm serving corporations, governments, financial institutions, and...

Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm serving corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals through three segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The firm operates globally from New York headquarters and offices in London, Frankfurt, Tokyo, and Hong Kong, regulated by the Federal Reserve as a financial holding company.

Related stocks: SCHW (Charles Schwab Corporation (The) · GS (Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)) · IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.) · HOOD (Robinhood Markets, Inc.)
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