A high-quality brokerage with a wide economic moat, 45% net margins, 29% year-over-year revenue growth, and a forward P/E of 8.2 times sits roughly 48% below analyst consensus with a favorable risk/reward of nearly 8-to-1 — but a technical death cross and a sharp recent earnings miss mean the setup rewards patience over immediacy, requiring chart confirmation before the fundamental case can be fully acted on.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Versus Growth Rate→Stable
- Wide Moat High Margin Quality→Stable
- Technical Death Cross Hard Block↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Financial Services · Capital Markets
Wait for pullback to $99.36. BUY gates pass at $103.01, but below 200-MA, MA slope -7.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $99.36 (Buy At Market Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and... Read more
Wait for pullback to $99.36. BUY gates pass at $103.01, but below 200-MA, MA slope -7.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $99.36 (Buy At Market Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. (held at prior verdict — engine reading is near the momentum/RSI threshold; will commit on clearer signal). Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 10/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=financial services 5/10 self excluded). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-27Recent Developments — Futu Holdings Limited
Latest news
- NEWS Futu Morning Report | Powell's 'Final Dance' + Earnings Reports from Four Giants Incoming, AI Trade Faces Test; UAE Anno — 富途牛牛 neutral
- NEWS Futu has already spent $290M on its 2025-2027 share buyback - Stock Titan — Stock Titan positive
- NEWS Futu Announces Cumulative Repurchases of Approximately US$290 Million Worth of ADSs Under Share Repurchase Program - Moo — Moomoo positive
- NEWS Futu Holdings reaches $290 million in share buybacks - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Futu Holdings Limited Reports $290 Million in Share Repurchases Under Ongoing Program - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
Generated 2026-07-27T18:52:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $99.36. BUY gates pass at $103.01, but below 200-MA, MA slope -7.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $99.36 (Buy At Market Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. (held at prior verdict — engine reading is near the momentum/RSI threshold; will commit on clearer signal). Target $140.14 (+36.0%), stop $90.35 (−14.0%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $140.14 (+36.0% upside). Target $140.14 (+36.0%), stop $90.35 (−14.0%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $90.35.
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Futu Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
28 analysts cover FUTU with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $156.
What does Futu Holdings Limited do?Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product...
Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and fund distribution services through its Futubull and Moomoo digital platforms. The company also provides financial information and online community services; online wealth management services under the Money Plus brand name through its Futubull and moomoo platforms, which provides its client access to mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other wealth management products; market data and information services; and NiuNiu Community, an open forum for users and clients to share insights, ask questions, and exchange ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.