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Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $161.87 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and... Read more

$153.68+39.2% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 40 Capital Markets
Entry $161.87(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $151.38Target $206.75(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$229.72+49.5%20 analysts
$206.75our TP
$153.68price
$229.72mean
$300

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $161.87 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val9.1Qual7.8Grw10.0Mom1.9Sent6.5Ins5.0Peer6.2Tech5.1Risk6.47.0OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$21.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn53.8%
ROE33.1%
Rev Growth53.1%
Beta0.42
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.16bearish
IV86%elevated
Max Pain$180+17.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $134.26Resistance $168.96

Price Targets

$151
$162
$207
A.Upside+34.5%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.4%
Max %2.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUTU stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $161.87 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $206.75 (+34.5%), stop $151.38 (−1.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.6:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUTU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $206.75 (+39.2% upside). Target $206.75 (+34.5%), stop $151.38 (−1.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.6:1. Stop-loss: $151.38.

What are the risks of investing in FUTU?

Negative momentum.

Is FUTU overvalued or undervalued?

Futu Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FUTU?

28 analysts cover FUTU with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $230.

What does Futu Holdings Limited do?Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product...

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and fund distribution services through its Futubull and Moomoo digital platforms. The company also provides financial information and online community services; online wealth management services under the Money Plus brand name through its Futubull and moomoo platforms, which provides its client access to mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other wealth management products; market data and information services; and NiuNiu Community, an open forum for users and clients to share insights, ask questions, and exchange ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

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