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Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $137.36 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and... Read more

$125.46+76.0% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.09%Payout0.00%sustainable
Entry $137.36(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $121.40Target $208.17(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst target$231.27+84.3%19 analysts
$208.17our TP
$125.46price
$231.27mean
$300

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $137.36 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Futu Holdings Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$17.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn53.8%
ROE33.1%
Rev Growth53.1%
Beta0.51
Dividend2.09%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV129%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Vol Acceleration
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (2.0x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $123.92Resistance $168.65

Price Targets

$121
$137
$208
A.Upside+65.9%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUTU stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $137.36 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Target $208.17 (+65.9%), stop $121.40 (−3.3%), Setup A.R:R 10.9:1. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

What is the FUTU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $208.17 (+76.0% upside). Target $208.17 (+65.9%), stop $121.40 (−3.3%), Setup A.R:R 10.9:1. Stop-loss: $121.40.

What are the risks of investing in FUTU?

Negative momentum.

Is FUTU overvalued or undervalued?

Futu Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FUTU?

28 analysts cover FUTU with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $231.

What does Futu Holdings Limited do?Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product...

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and fund distribution services through its Futubull and Moomoo digital platforms. The company also provides financial information and online community services; online wealth management services under the Money Plus brand name through its Futubull and moomoo platforms, which provides its client access to mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other wealth management products; market data and information services; and NiuNiu Community, an open forum for users and clients to share insights, ask questions, and exchange ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

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