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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait6.9·$20.41+1.04%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Iamgold combines an unusually strong quality profile — including a wide economic moat, 28% returns on equity, 29% operating margins, and a perfect financial health score — with deep value screening at a forward earnings multiple of 7.4 times and a near-zero PEG, while delivering three consecutive positive earnings surprises averaging 18.6%; the primary near-term risk is an extremely elevated put/call ratio signaling heavy hedging activity ahead of the next catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Extreme Put Call Hedging RiskDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat High Quality FranchiseStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $17.76. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $20.41. Engine's entry $17.76 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in... Read more

$20.41-1.7% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#8 of 42 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield10.17%
Entry $17.76(support + ATR (held))Stop $15.75Target $21.87(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$23.67+16.0%6 analysts
$21.87our TP
$20.41price
$23.67mean
$34

Wait for pullback to $17.76. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $20.41. Engine's entry $17.76 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.89)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$12.0B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn31.4%
ROE32.3%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta2.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV77%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.16Resistance $22.32

Price Targets

$16
$18
$22
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IAG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $17.76. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $20.41. Engine's entry $17.76 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $21.87 (+7.2%), stop $15.75 (−29.6%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.87 (-1.7% upside). Target $21.87 (+7.2%), stop $15.75 (−29.6%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $15.75.

What are the risks of investing in IAG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Iamgold Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IAG?

14 analysts cover IAG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Iamgold Corporation do?IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso....

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in northeastern Ontario. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · B (Barrick Mining Corporation)
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