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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait7.3·$16.56+5.01%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Iamgold combines an unusually strong quality profile — including a wide economic moat, 28% returns on equity, 29% operating margins, and a perfect financial health score — with deep value screening at a forward earnings multiple of 7.4 times and a near-zero PEG, while delivering three consecutive positive earnings surprises averaging 18.6%; the primary near-term risk is an extremely elevated put/call ratio signaling heavy hedging activity ahead of the next catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Extreme Put Call Hedging RiskStable
  • Wide Moat High Quality FranchiseStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $17.59 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW.

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in... Read more

$16.56+37.7% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield10.15%
Entry $17.59(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $15.63Target $21.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$24.90+50.4%5 analysts
$21.66our TP
$16.56price
$24.90mean
$34

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $17.59 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
High-quality business
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.7
P/E (Fwd)6.9
Mkt Cap$9.6B
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn29.5%
ROE28.0%
Rev Growth115.9%
Beta2.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.76neutral
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.70Resistance $18.92

Price Targets

$16
$18
$22
A.Upside+30.8%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2%
Max %3.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IAG stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $17.59 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $21.66 (+30.8%), stop $15.63 (−6.0%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.66 (+37.7% upside). Target $21.66 (+30.8%), stop $15.63 (−6.0%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $15.63.

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Iamgold Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.7 (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IAG?

14 analysts cover IAG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Iamgold Corporation do?IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso....

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in northeastern Ontario. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
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