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HSICHenry Schein, Inc.Sell5.1·$86.43+2.26%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Three consecutive earnings beats suggest improving execution, but the stock is trading above its near-term price target with RSI at 81 and weak underlying growth — the current entry geometry favors waiting for a pullback before committing new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat RecoveryStable
  • Above Target No UpsideStable
  • Fcf Quality ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Henry Schein, Inc. (HSIC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.43 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.2% away).

Henry Schein distributes health care products and services to more than one million dental and medical customers across 34 countries through Global Distribution and Value-Added Services (84.5% of net sales in 2025), Global Specialty Products (11.7%), and Global Technology... Read more

$86.43-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#3 of 5 Medical Distribution
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.95%
Stop $82.71Target $84.77(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$88.07+1.9%15 analysts
$84.77our TP
$86.43price
$88.07mean
$64
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.43 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Henry Schein, Inc.

About Henry Schein, Inc.

Henry Schein served more than one million dental and medical customers across 34 countries and territories in fiscal 2025, with the Dental category representing 52.0% of consolidated net sales and Medical 32.5%. The company's three segments—Global Distribution and Value-Added Services (84.5% of net sales), Global Specialty Products (11.7%), and Global Technology (5.1%)—employed over 25,000 people at year-end, with 52% of the workforce outside the United States. Henry Schein operates 38 distribution centers and 17 manufacturing facilities globally.

Henry Schein generates revenue from consumable and equipment distribution to dental and medical practitioners, supplemented by specialty product manufacturing (dental implants, endodontics, orthodontics, and orthopedics) and practice management software. The Global Technology segment had approximately 95,000 active practice users and 324,000 consumers at December 27, 2025. In U.S. dental distribution, primary competitors are Patterson Dental (a division of Patterson Companies) and Benco Dental Supply; in U.S. medical distribution, McKesson Corporation and Medline Industries. Outside the U.S., the company positions itself as the only global dental distributor to practices, competing against regional players including Cadence Group, DD Group, Lifco AB, and Planmeca Group. In fiscal 2025, the top 10 Global Distribution and Value-Added Services suppliers accounted for approximately 24% of aggregate purchases and the single largest supplier 4%, with the company characterizing no single supplier as material. Supplier rebates tied to volume growth targets represent an additional income stream subject to competitive and supply conditions.

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Henry Schein's distribution model faces structural headwinds from online price transparency and potential regulatory reimbursement shifts. The 10-K notes that potential adoption of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act could affect Medicare and Medicaid eligibility, which may impact practitioner demand for distributed products. On cybersecurity, an October 2023 cyberattack disrupted North American and European dental and medical distribution operations, with residual financial impact extending into fiscal 2024—the filing acknowledges this may mark the company as a more vulnerable future target. In January 2025, funds affiliated with KKR invested $250 million at approximately $76.10 per share under a Strategic Partnership Agreement permitting KKR to acquire up to 19.9% of outstanding shares, a large-block counterparty relationship the filing acknowledges could create unintended conflicts or uncertainty about strategic direction.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Distribution

From Henry Schein, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.2% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.1
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.2
52w Position
9.4

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
4.1
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.13Resistance $86.50

Price Targets

$83
$85
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HSIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.43 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $82.71. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HSIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.77 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $82.71. Stop-loss: $82.71.

What are the risks of investing in HSIC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away); Weak growth.

Is HSIC overvalued or undervalued?

Henry Schein, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HSIC?

24 analysts cover HSIC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Henry Schein, Inc. do?Henry Schein distributes health care products and services to more than one million dental and medical customers across...

Henry Schein distributes health care products and services to more than one million dental and medical customers across 34 countries through Global Distribution and Value-Added Services (84.5% of net sales in 2025), Global Specialty Products (11.7%), and Global Technology (5.1%). Revenue is generated through consumable and equipment sales, practice management software serving 95,000 active practices, repair services, and financial services to office-based practitioners. The company employs over 25,000 people and ships approximately 150,000 cartons daily from 38 distribution centers.

Related stocks: MCK (McKesson Corporation) · COR (Cencora, Inc.) · CAH (Cardinal Health, Inc.) · AHG (Akso Health Group)
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