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CORCencora, Inc.Sell5.6·$276.92+1.03%
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Cencora, Inc. (COR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $276.92: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Cencora is one of the largest global pharmaceutical distribution companies with US Healthcare Solutions (specialty drug distribution, oncology services, animal health) and International Healthcare Solutions (European wholesale, World Courier logistics, Canada) segments. In... Read more

$276.92+12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 5 Medical Distribution
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.60%
IncomeYield0.88%(5y avg 1.01%)Payout17.62%sustainable
Stop $264.77Target $310.45(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$356.83+28.9%12 analysts
$310.45our TP
$276.92price
$356.83mean
$425

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $276.92: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Cencora, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-09T22:16:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (66.0%)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -30.1%), High leverage (D/E 1.5), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.18% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$53.3B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE107.1%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta0.59
Dividend0.88%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV45%normal
Max Pain$480+73.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerWalgreens and Boots25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Walgreens and Boots together accounted for approximately 25% of our revenue in fiscal 2025 and, as of September 30, 2025, accounted for approximately 38% of our accounts receivable, net.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerEvernorth Health Services13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Evernorth Health Services accounted for approximately 13% of our revenue in fiscal 2025.'
  • HIGHCustomertop-10 customers66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers, including governmental agencies, represented approximately 66% of revenue in fiscal 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02HIGH
    James F. Cleary announced retirement as EVP and CFO effective June 30, 2026. No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices cited. No successor named in this announcement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
4.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.4
Operating Margin
0.7
Roa
2.3
Current Ratio
3.8
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.9
Roe
10.0
Excellent ROE: 107%Earnings quality RED FLAG: -12% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $251.60Resistance $277.99

Price Targets

$265
$310
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -30.1%), High leverage (D/E 1.5), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.18% of cap)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $276.92: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $264.77. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $310.45 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $264.77. Stop-loss: $264.77.

What are the risks of investing in COR?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (66.0%); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -30.1%), High leverage (D/E 1.5), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.18% of cap).

Is COR overvalued or undervalued?

Cencora, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COR?

20 analysts cover COR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $357.

What does Cencora, Inc. do?Cencora is one of the largest global pharmaceutical distribution companies with US Healthcare Solutions (specialty drug...

Cencora is one of the largest global pharmaceutical distribution companies with US Healthcare Solutions (specialty drug distribution, oncology services, animal health) and International Healthcare Solutions (European wholesale, World Courier logistics, Canada) segments. In fiscal 2025, Walgreens+Boots = ~25% of revenue, Evernorth Health Services = ~13%, and top-10 customers = ~66%.

Related stocks: MCK (McKesson Corporation) · HSIC (Henry Schein, Inc.) · CAH (Cardinal Health, Inc.) · GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · INCY (Incyte Corporation)
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