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HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.Sell5.0·$36.38-1.68%
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Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (HP) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.38: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Helmerich & Payne provides land and offshore contract drilling services, operating 223 North America Solutions rigs and 137 International Solutions rigs following the January 2025 KCA Deutag acquisition ($2.0 billion). North America Solutions contributed about 63% of... Read more

$36.38+2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#7 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.72%
IncomeYield2.70%(5y avg 4.06%)Payout60.91%
Stop $34.94Target $37.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$41.20+13.2%15 analysts
$37.08our TP
$36.38price
$41.20mean
$30
$47

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.38: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Helmerich & Payne, Inc.

About Helmerich & Payne, Inc.

Helmerich & Payne generated roughly $3.8 billion in consolidated operating revenues in fiscal year 2025, with North America Solutions contributing $2.4 billion (63%), International Solutions $802 million (21%), and Offshore Solutions $520 million (14%). The company closed its $2.0 billion KCA Deutag acquisition on January 16, 2025, expanding international rig availability from 27 to 137 and adding operations across the Middle East, South America, Europe, and Africa; active rigs totaled 208 at September 30, 2025.

H&P earns dayrate revenue through fixed-term and well-to-well contracts with major integrated oil companies, large and small independents, and private equity-backed operators. North America Solutions held about 24% of U.S. land drilling market share and 33.7% of the super-spec market at September 30, 2025, with 144 of 223 marketed rigs active. The largest consolidated drilling customer contributed 12.0% of total revenues ($451.3 million) in fiscal 2025. International operations are concentrated in Saudi Arabia ($259.0 million, 6.9% of total revenues — all from the national oil company), Oman ($177.9 million, 4.7%), and Argentina ($155.7 million, 4.2%). Competitors in U.S. land drilling include Nabors Industries Ltd., Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc., and Precision Drilling Corporation.

Show full overview

The Saudi Arabia rig portfolio illustrates integration risk from the KCA Deutag acquisition: all 44 available rigs are contracted with the national oil company, yet 27 were under contract suspension at September 30, 2025 and earning no revenue. The suspensions followed notifications received after the acquisition announcement in July 2024. If suspensions persist, the segment generating 6.9% of consolidated revenues could continue to underperform; the 10-K notes no assurance that anticipated benefits from the $2.0 billion acquisition will materialize on the expected timeline.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

From Helmerich & Payne, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America Solutions (63.0%)
Target reached (2.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)26.8
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn-9.4%
ROE-13.0%
Rev Growth-8.2%
Beta0.57
Dividend2.70%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$55+51.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNorth America Solutions63%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our North America Solutions segment contributed approximately 63.0 percent ($2.4 billion) of our consolidated operating revenues during fiscal year 2025'
  • LOWCustomerlargest drilling customer12%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenue from drilling services performed for our largest drilling customer totaled approximately 12.0 percent ... of our total consolidated revenues during fiscal years 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO J. Kevin Vann to retire June 30, 2026. Successor Todd Scruggs (VP Corporate Finance and Treasurer) appointed effective July 1, 2026. Retirement not due to any disagreement with company operations or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.7
Gross Margin
2.3
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.2
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
5.6
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.02Resistance $41.82

Price Targets

$35
$37
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.38: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.94. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.08 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $34.94. Stop-loss: $34.94.

What are the risks of investing in HP?

Concentration risk — Geographic: North America Solutions (63.0%); Target reached (2.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is HP overvalued or undervalued?

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HP?

25 analysts cover HP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Helmerich & Payne, Inc. do?Helmerich & Payne provides land and offshore contract drilling services, operating 223 North America Solutions rigs and...

Helmerich & Payne provides land and offshore contract drilling services, operating 223 North America Solutions rigs and 137 International Solutions rigs following the January 2025 KCA Deutag acquisition ($2.0 billion). North America Solutions contributed about 63% of consolidated FY2025 operating revenues; customers are primarily major integrated and independent oil companies.

Related stocks: BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) · RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.)
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