Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (HP) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HP stock price target?

Take-profit $40.28 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $37.98.

Q: What are the risks of investing in HP?

Target reached (-15.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Target reached (-15.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Q: Is HP overvalued or undervalued?

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 38.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HP?

25 analysts cover HP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $38.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Helmerich & Payne provides performance-driven drilling solutions via North America Solutions (primarily Texas), International Solutions (Middle East/Latin America), and Offshore Solutions segments. Its $2.0B acquisition of KCA Deutag in January 2025 significantly expanded... Read more

$40.73-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 9 Oil & Gas Drilling

Stop $37.98Target $40.28(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1

Analyst target$38.40-5.7%15 analysts

$40.28our TP

$40.73price

$38.40mean

$30

$44

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.73: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-15.1% upside)

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)38.2

Mkt Cap$4.2B

EV/EBITDA6.7

Profit Mgn-7.7%

ROE-11.0%

Rev Growth50.2%

Beta0.54

Dividend2.44%

Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish

IV70%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
J. Kevin Vann notified H&P of retirement as SVP and CFO effective June 30, 2026. Todd Scruggs (VP Corporate Finance and Treasurer) appointed SVP and CFO effective July 1, 2026. No disagreement cited.
SEC filing →
2026-03-06Item 5.02LOW
Stockholders approved Amended & Restated 2024 Omnibus Incentive Plan at 2026 Annual Meeting on March 4, 2026. Routine compensatory plan approval.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.715%1.00

Quality3.415%0.51

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum6.710%0.67

Sentiment5.710%0.57

Insider Activity4.810%0.48

Peer Rank5.110%0.51

Technical Setup4.15%0.20

Risk Profile5.95%0.30

Catalyst4.05%0.20

Overall (Σ contributions)5.94

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Roa

1.3

Operating Margin

1.7

Gross Margin

2.4

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

7.1

Piotroski F

10.0

No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

74 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.74Resistance $41.10

Price Targets

$38

$40

A.Upside-1.1%

A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.1% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.73: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $37.98. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.28 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $37.98. Stop-loss: $37.98.

What are the risks of investing in HP?

Target reached (-15.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is HP overvalued or undervalued?

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 38.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HP?

25 analysts cover HP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Helmerich & Payne, Inc. do?Helmerich & Payne provides performance-driven drilling solutions via North America Solutions (primarily Texas),...