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HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc.Sell6.2·$71.55-0.78%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Helios Technologies has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging roughly 14% above consensus and converts free cash flow at 162% of net income — the quality fundamentals are real — but the stock has essentially reached its near-term resistance target and the risk/reward is unfavorable, making this a hold rather than a new-entry setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow GenerationStable
  • Heavy Segment Geographic ConcentrationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Helios Technologies, Inc. (HLIO) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $71.55: Concentration risk — Product: Hydraulics segment (64.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%).

Helios Technologies designs and manufactures hydraulic motion control and fluid conveyance products (Hydraulics, 64% of 2025 sales) and electronic control systems, displays, and wire harnesses (Electronics) for construction, agriculture, industrial, marine, and health and... Read more

$71.55+15.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.99%
IncomeYield0.67%(5y avg 0.67%)Payout14.02%sustainable
Stop $67.40Target $82.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$94.67+32.3%6 analysts
$82.36our TP
$71.55price
$94.67mean
$110

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $71.55: Concentration risk — Product: Hydraulics segment (64.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Hydraulics segment (64.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.7
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.67%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV50%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductHydraulics segment64%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 64% of Helios' sales were derived from the Hydraulics segment.'
  • HIGHGeographicAmericas (Electronics segment)79%
    10-K Item 1: 'our 2025 Electronics segment sales were 79% in the Americas'
  • HIGHCustomerOEM sales (Electronics segment)78%
    10-K Item 1: 'OEM sales constituted 78% of total Electronics segment sales in 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
17 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.48Resistance $84.59

Price Targets

$67
$82
A.Upside+15.1%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$95

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLIO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $71.55: Concentration risk — Product: Hydraulics segment (64.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $67.40. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLIO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.36 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $67.40. Stop-loss: $67.40.

What are the risks of investing in HLIO?

Concentration risk — Product: Hydraulics segment (64.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is HLIO overvalued or undervalued?

Helios Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.7 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HLIO?

12 analysts cover HLIO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $95.

What does Helios Technologies, Inc. do?Helios Technologies designs and manufactures hydraulic motion control and fluid conveyance products (Hydraulics, 64% of...

Helios Technologies designs and manufactures hydraulic motion control and fluid conveyance products (Hydraulics, 64% of 2025 sales) and electronic control systems, displays, and wire harnesses (Electronics) for construction, agriculture, industrial, marine, and health and wellness end markets globally. Revenue flows through value-added distributors and direct OEM sales; OEM sales constituted 78% of Electronics segment sales in 2025. No single customer represented 10% or more of consolidated 2025 net sales.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I)
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