Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.30 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida.
Hilton Grand Vacations is a global timeshare company with 200+ properties and 720,000+ members selling vacation ownership interests under Hilton Grand Vacations brands via real estate sales/financing and resort management segments. Properties and VOIs are significantly... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.30 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS What To Expect From Hilton Grand Vacations’s (HGV) Q1 Earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Vodka-drinking HGV driver spotted 'swaying' between lanes on the M6 - Birmingham Live — Birmingham Live negative
- NEWS What To Expect From Hilton Grand Vacations’s (HGV) Q1 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Assessing Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Valuation After Its US$500 Million Timeshare Loan Securitization - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS ASA bans misleading HGV training ads after complaint from J Coates Services - Motor Transport — Motor Transport negative
Generated 2026-06-15T15:01:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicFlorida10-K Item 1: 'A significant number of our properties and VOIs are concentrated in Florida, Europe, Hawaii, South Carolina, California, Arizona, Nevada, and Virginia.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOWHGV shareholders approved an amendment to the 2023 Omnibus Incentive Plan at the May 6, 2026 Annual Meeting, adding 1,250,000 shares for issuance. Directors elected for one-year terms.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOWDavid W. Johnson resigned from the HGV Board effective immediately on March 16, 2026. Resignation not due to any disagreement. Board size reduced from 10 to 9 directors; no replacement named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.30 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $47.70. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $52.74 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $47.70. Stop-loss: $47.70.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover HGV with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $58.
What does Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. do?Hilton Grand Vacations is a global timeshare company with 200+ properties and 720,000+ members selling vacation...
Hilton Grand Vacations is a global timeshare company with 200+ properties and 720,000+ members selling vacation ownership interests under Hilton Grand Vacations brands via real estate sales/financing and resort management segments. Properties and VOIs are significantly concentrated in Florida, Europe, Hawaii, South Carolina, California, Arizona, Nevada, and Virginia. As of Dec 31 2025, the weighted average interest rate on the $4.3B loan portfolio was 14.7%.