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HEI-AHeico CorporationHold6.1·$261.70+0.02%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Heico's Class A shares offer exposure to a high-quality, high-growth industrial franchise with favorable technical momentum and a 1.3-to-1 reward-to-risk in your favor — meaningful but short of the 1.5-to-1 preferred threshold — while the nearly 58-times forward earnings multiple and heavy product concentration in the Flight Support Group (approximately 70% of revenue) keep the asymmetry below the bar for a compelling new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Industrial FranchiseStable
  • Constructive Technical MomentumStable
  • Expensive Valuation Asymmetry GapStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Heico Corporation (HEI-A) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $261.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.9%.

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG,... Read more

$261.70+3.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.94%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.13%)Payout4.29%sustainable
Stop $244.46Target $272.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$320.00+22.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $261.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%)
Thin upside margin: 3.9%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.7
P/E (Fwd)60.7
Mkt Cap$36.5B
EV/EBITDA28.8
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth25.3%
Beta1.03
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFlight Support Group70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Flight Support Group ("FSG")...accounted for 70%, 68% and 60% of our net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductdefense and homeland security products31%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, approximately 31% of our net sales were derived from the sale of defense, commercial and defense satellite and spacecraft components, and homeland security products.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.8
Pe
2.7
Peg Ratio
4.5
Ps
5.2
Forward P/E: 60.7xPEG: 2.02Expensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
8.7
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $233.66Resistance $265.55

Price Targets

$244
$272
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HEI-A stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $261.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $272.00 (+3.9%), stop $244.46 (−7.1%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HEI-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $272.00 (+3.9% upside). Target $272.00 (+3.9%), stop $244.46 (−7.1%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $244.46.

What are the risks of investing in HEI-A?

Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Expensive valuation.

Is HEI-A overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 46.7 (forward 60.7). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HEI-A?

28 analysts cover HEI-A with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $320.

What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight...

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG, 30%). Net sales reached $4,485.0 million in fiscal 2025, serving commercial airlines, the U.S. Department of Defense, defense prime contractors, and foreign military organizations.

Related stocks: HEI (Heico Corporation) · EMBJ (Embraer S.A.) · LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) · FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation)
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