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HEI-AHeico CorporationSell5.7·$240.50+0.28%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Heico's Class A shares offer exposure to a high-quality, high-growth industrial franchise with favorable technical momentum and a 1.3-to-1 reward-to-risk in your favor — meaningful but short of the 1.5-to-1 preferred threshold — while the nearly 58-times forward earnings multiple and heavy product concentration in the Flight Support Group (approximately 70% of revenue) keep the asymmetry below the bar for a compelling new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Industrial FranchiseStable
  • Constructive Technical MomentumDeteriorating
  • Expensive Valuation Asymmetry GapImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Heico Corporation (HEI-A) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $240.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG,... Read more

$240.50+13.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#27 of 66 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.53%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.12%)Payout4.17%sustainable
Stop $229.55Target $272.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$320.00+33.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $240.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 104d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 17, 2026104d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.0
P/E (Fwd)55.5
Mkt Cap$33.4B
EV/EBITDA24.7
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE17.7%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta1.05
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C74.85bearish
Max Pain$180-25.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFlight Support Group70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Flight Support Group ("FSG")...accounted for 70%, 68% and 60% of our net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductdefense and homeland security products31%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, approximately 31% of our net sales were derived from the sale of defense, commercial and defense satellite and spacecraft components, and homeland security products.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 7, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
2.1
Pe
3.0
Peg Ratio
4.8
Ps
5.9
Forward P/E: 55.5xPEG: 1.66
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 104d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
7 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $236.65Resistance $275.03

Price Targets

$230
$272
A.Upside+13.7%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-17 (104d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HEI-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $240.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $229.55. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HEI-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $272.00 (+13.7% upside). Prior stop was $229.55. Stop-loss: $229.55.

What are the risks of investing in HEI-A?

Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation.

Is HEI-A overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 40.0 (forward 55.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HEI-A?

28 analysts cover HEI-A with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $320.

What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight...

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG, 30%). Net sales reached $4,485.0 million in fiscal 2025, serving commercial airlines, the U.S. Department of Defense, defense prime contractors, and foreign military organizations.

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