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GRCGorman-Rupp Company (The)Sell5.1·$75.55+0.60%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A financially sound specialty industrial machinery company with strong momentum—RSI at 76, rising on-balance volume, and a near-perfect financial health score—has moved above its analyst consensus target with effectively no positive headroom remaining, while earnings estimates are drifting lower and a 28.9x forward earnings multiple prices in a growth trajectory the current estimate revisions do not support.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Technical MomentumDeteriorating
  • Rich Valuation With Declining EstimatesImproving
  • High Quality Financial ProfileStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gorman-Rupp Company (The) (GRC) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction, dewatering, industrial, petroleum, original equipment, agriculture, fire suppression, heating, ventilating and air conditioning ("HVAC"), military and other... Read more

$75.55-9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#46 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.87%
IncomeYield1.01%(5y avg 1.96%)Payout31.86%sustainable
Stop $71.19Target $84.08(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$80.67+6.8%3 analysts
$84.08our TP
$75.55price
$80.67mean
$84

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 23, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.2
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA16.6
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta1.30
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV48%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 23, 2026, James C.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.81Resistance $85.80

Price Targets

$71
$84
A.Upside-9.2%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.2% upside)
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-23 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $71.19. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.08 (-9.2% upside). Prior stop was $71.19. Stop-loss: $71.19.

What are the risks of investing in GRC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is GRC overvalued or undervalued?

Gorman-Rupp Company (The) trades at a P/E of 31.2 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GRC?

6 analysts cover GRC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Gorman-Rupp Company (The) do?The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction,...

The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction, dewatering, industrial, petroleum, original equipment, agriculture, fire suppression, heating, ventilating and air conditioning ("HVAC"), military and other liquid-handling applications.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS)
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