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GRCGorman-Rupp Company (The)Sell5.1·$84.06-5.25%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A financially sound specialty industrial machinery company with strong momentum—RSI at 76, rising on-balance volume, and a near-perfect financial health score—has moved above its analyst consensus target with effectively no positive headroom remaining, while earnings estimates are drifting lower and a 28.9x forward earnings multiple prices in a growth trajectory the current estimate revisions do not support.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Technical MomentumStable
  • Rich Valuation With Declining EstimatesStable
  • High Quality Financial ProfileStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gorman-Rupp Company (The) (GRC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $84.06 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction, dewatering, industrial, petroleum, original equipment, agriculture, fire suppression, heating, ventilating and air conditioning ("HVAC"), military and other... Read more

$84.06+8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#34 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.88%
IncomeYield0.90%(5y avg 1.96%)Payout33.48%sustainable
Stop $78.18Target $90.92(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$75.00-10.8%3 analysts
$90.92our TP
$84.06price
$75.00mean
$74
$91

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $84.06 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.5
P/E (Fwd)28.1
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn8.5%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta1.28
Dividend0.90%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.3
Value Rank
4.7
Quality Rank
5.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Pe
3.3
Peg Ratio
4.0
Forward Pe
4.4
Ps
8.1
Forward P/E: 28.1xPEG: 2.49
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.57Resistance $92.78

Price Targets

$78
$91
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $84.06 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $78.18. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.92 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $78.18. Stop-loss: $78.18.

What are the risks of investing in GRC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Expensive valuation.

Is GRC overvalued or undervalued?

Gorman-Rupp Company (The) trades at a P/E of 37.5 (forward 28.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GRC?

6 analysts cover GRC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Gorman-Rupp Company (The) do?The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction,...

The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction, dewatering, industrial, petroleum, original equipment, agriculture, fire suppression, heating, ventilating and air conditioning ("HVAC"), military and other liquid-handling applications.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · CSW (CSW Industrials, Inc.)
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