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GRCGorman-Rupp Company (The)Sell5.4·$75.06
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A financially sound specialty industrial machinery company with strong momentum—RSI at 76, rising on-balance volume, and a near-perfect financial health score—has moved above its analyst consensus target with effectively no positive headroom remaining, while earnings estimates are drifting lower and a 28.9x forward earnings multiple prices in a growth trajectory the current estimate revisions do not support.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Technical Momentum↑Improving
  • Rich Valuation With Declining Estimates→Stable
  • High Quality Financial Profile→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gorman-Rupp Company (The) (GRC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.06 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction, dewatering, industrial, petroleum, original equipment, agriculture, fire suppression, heating, ventilating and air conditioning ("HVAC"), military and other... Read more

$75.06-8.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#38 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.90%
IncomeYield1.02%(5y avg 1.96%)Payout31.86%sustainable
Stop $70.94Target $86.32(default +15%)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$80.67+7.5%3 analysts
$86.32our TP
$75.06price
$80.67mean
$86

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.06 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 23, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)23.6
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA16.5
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta1.28
Dividend1.02%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

IV51%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 23, 2026, James C.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.00Resistance $77.60

Price Targets

$71
$86
A.Upside-8.7%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-23 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $75.06 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $70.94. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $86.32 (-8.7% upside). Prior stop was $70.94. Stop-loss: $70.94.

What are the risks of investing in GRC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is GRC overvalued or undervalued?

Gorman-Rupp Company (The) trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 23.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GRC?

6 analysts cover GRC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Gorman-Rupp Company (The) do?The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction,...

The Company designs, manufactures and globally sells pumps and pump systems for use in water, wastewater, construction, dewatering, industrial, petroleum, original equipment, agriculture, fire suppression, heating, ventilating and air conditioning ("HVAC"), military and other liquid-handling applications.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS)
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