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GIIIG-III Apparel Group, LTD.Sell4.8·$33.50-0.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

G-III Apparel carries an eye-catching forward multiple of 14.0x and a near-zero earnings growth multiple, but the stock has essentially reached its resistance target with only 3.4% headroom and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio of 0.49. High short interest at 23% and a put/call ratio of 4.43 signal substantial market skepticism, and revenue has declined 8% over the past year, leaving the valuation story dependent on a revenue recovery that has not yet materialized.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest Options PressureStable
  • Cheap Multiple Declining RevenueStable
  • Unfavorable Risk Reward GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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G-III Apparel Group, LTD. (GIII) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets women's and men's apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Wholesale Operations and Retail Operations. The company offers outerwear, dresses, sportswear, swimwear, women's suits,... Read more

$33.50+6.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#11 of 14 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.08%
IncomeYield1.19%Payout7.04%sustainable
Stop $31.18Target $35.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$39.33+17.4%3 analysts
$35.69our TP
$33.50price
$39.33mean
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About G-III Apparel Group, LTD.

About G-III Apparel Group, LTD.

G-III Apparel Group markets apparel, outerwear, handbags, and footwear under more than 30 owned and licensed brands, with owned labels -- led by DKNY, Donna Karan, Karl Lagerfeld, and Vilebrequin -- generating approximately 57% of net sales in fiscal 2026 (year ended January 31, 2026), up from 47% two years earlier, while licensed brands such as Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger contributed the remaining 43%. Distribution runs through wholesale department-store and off-price accounts alongside owned digital platforms and more than 70 DKNY and 200-plus Karl Lagerfeld retail doors worldwide.

G-III earns the large majority of its revenue through wholesale sales to department stores and off-price retailers rather than direct-to-consumer channels, and that customer base is concentrated: the ten largest customers, all department-store or off-price accounts, accounted for approximately 67.6% of fiscal 2026 net sales, with the Macy's Inc. group (Macy's and Bloomingdale's) alone contributing 20.6%, TJX Companies 11.4%, and Ross Stores 11.0%. On the licensing side, G-III's Calvin Klein licenses -- which once generated over $1 billion in annual net sales -- expire on a staggered basis through December 2027, as do its Tommy Hilfiger licenses, and license agreements generally require the company to meet minimum net-sales and royalty thresholds set by outside licensors such as PVH-owned brands, Levi's, and Authentic Brands Group's Nautica. Owned-brand licensing, by contrast, is a growing royalty-income stream as G-III licenses DKNY, Donna Karan, and Karl Lagerfeld into categories such as fragrance, eyewear, and home goods that it does not produce itself.

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G-III's dependence on companies it does not control cuts two ways. On the customer side, the 10-K states the company has significant customer concentration and that reductions in purchases by its largest retail accounts could adversely affect results; on the licensing side, it depends on sales of licensed products for 43.0% of net sales and warns that a licensor could reposition a brand, decline to renew a license, or produce competing products itself. Both the Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger licenses -- among G-III's largest -- expire on a staggered basis through December 2027, meaning renewal terms with PVH will be renegotiated within the horizon most investors are pricing today.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

From G-III Apparel Group, LTD.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE7.2%
Rev Growth-8.2%
Beta1.28
Dividend1.19%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C12.67bearish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -8.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.5
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.7
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.27Resistance $36.42

Price Targets

$31
$36
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.18. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.69 (+6.5% upside). Prior stop was $31.18. Stop-loss: $31.18.

What are the risks of investing in GIII?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is GIII overvalued or undervalued?

G-III Apparel Group, LTD. trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIII?

10 analysts cover GIII with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $39.

What does G-III Apparel Group, LTD. do?G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets women's and men's apparel in the United States and...

G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets women's and men's apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Wholesale Operations and Retail Operations. The company offers outerwear, dresses, sportswear, swimwear, women's suits, performance wear, suit separates, athleisure, jeans, handbags, footwear, accessories, small leather goods, cold weather accessories, and luggage. It markets apparel and other products under the its owned brands, including Andrew Marc, DKNY, Donna Karan, Eliza J, G.H. Bass, G-III for Her, G-III Sports by Carl Banks, Jessica Howard, Karl Lagerfeld, Karl Lagerfeld Paris, Marc New York, Sonia Rykiel, Vilebrequin, and Wilsons Leather; and under its licensed brands, such as BCBG, Calvin Klein, Champion, Cole Haan, Converse, Dockers, French Connection, Halston, Kenneth Cole, Kensie, Levi's, Margaritaville, Nautica, Tommy Hilfiger, and Vince Camuto. The company also engages in licensed team sports business that has partnerships with the National Football League, National Basketball Association, Major League Baseball, and National Hockey League, as well as U.S. colleges and universities. It distributes its products through retailers, digital channels, and online retail partners. G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. was founded in 1956 and is based in New York, New York.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company)
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