Skip to main content
GFSGlobalFoundries Inc.Hold4.6·$70.08-9.26%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GlobalFoundries has demonstrated a perfect four-quarter beat streak with rising estimates and exceptional cash conversion, but an expensive valuation with the stock having already reached a prior target level and 18% short interest limit the near-term asymmetry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Limits Near Term UpsideStable
  • Perfect Beat Streak Rising EstimatesStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application... Read more

$70.08+4.4% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#42 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.11%
IncomeYield0.69%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $66.44Target $72.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$81.00+15.6%21 analysts
$72.90our TP
$70.08price
$81.00mean
$60
$125

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — GlobalFoundries Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T06:50:34Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.4%
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.0
P/E (Fwd)27.7
Mkt Cap$38.3B
EV/EBITDA18.2
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta1.77
Dividend0.69%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.98neutral
IV96%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
5.1
Value Rank
6.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.3
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.49Resistance $90.65

Price Targets

$66
$73
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $72.90 (+4.0%), stop $66.44 (−5.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.90 (+4.4% upside). Target $72.90 (+4.0%), stop $66.44 (−5.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $66.44.

What are the risks of investing in GFS?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is GFS overvalued or undervalued?

GlobalFoundries Inc. trades at a P/E of 51.0 (forward 27.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GFS?

25 analysts cover GFS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $81.

What does GlobalFoundries Inc. do?GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies...

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, and power management units. The company also provides quantum technology solutions. GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. has a strategic partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy's Genesis Mission to accelerate scientific discovery through artificial intelligence and advanced computing. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Malta, New York.

Related stocks: CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · ADI (Analog Devices, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.)
Home Stocks GFS

Latest news

Latest News

Investor's Business Daily62d ago
Seeking Alpha62d ago
Yahoo Finance62d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance UK62d ago
Quiver Quantitative62d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com62d agoEarnings
Investing.com63d ago
Barron's63d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha63d agoProduct
MSN63d ago
Yahoo Finance66d agoEarnings
Benzinga13d agoProduct
Benzinga15d ago
Benzinga33d agoProduct
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga34d agoProduct
Benzinga34d ago
Benzinga38d ago
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga40d ago
Loading more...