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GFSGlobalFoundries Inc.Sell5.2·$53.99-5.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GlobalFoundries has demonstrated a perfect four-quarter beat streak with rising estimates and exceptional cash conversion, but an expensive valuation with the stock having already reached a prior target level and 18% short interest limit the near-term asymmetry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Limits Near Term UpsideStable
  • Perfect Beat Streak Rising EstimatesStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application... Read more

$53.99+36.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#39 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.06%
IncomeYield0.84%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $51.37Target $72.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$81.00+50.0%21 analysts
$72.90our TP
$53.99price
$81.00mean
$125

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — GlobalFoundries Inc.

Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 36%
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.9
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$29.4B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta1.76
Dividend0.84%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV91%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.2
Rsi
8.5
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 23)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.96Resistance $82.80

Price Targets

$51
$73
A.Upside+36.2%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $51.37. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.90 (+36.2% upside). Prior stop was $51.37. Stop-loss: $51.37.

What are the risks of investing in GFS?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is GFS overvalued or undervalued?

GlobalFoundries Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.9 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GFS?

26 analysts cover GFS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $81.

What does GlobalFoundries Inc. do?GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies...

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, and power management units. The company also provides quantum technology solutions. GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. has a strategic partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy's Genesis Mission to accelerate scientific discovery through artificial intelligence and advanced computing. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Malta, New York.

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