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GFSGlobalFoundries Inc.Hold5.4·$54.65+3.72%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GlobalFoundries has demonstrated a perfect four-quarter beat streak with rising estimates and exceptional cash conversion, but an expensive valuation with the stock having already reached a prior target level and 18% short interest limit the near-term asymmetry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Limits Near Term UpsideStable
  • Perfect Beat Streak Rising EstimatesStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $54.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Weak growth.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application... Read more

$54.65+26.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#43 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.62%
IncomeYield0.90%Payout9.38%sustainable
Stop $50.76Target $69.09(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$76.76+40.5%21 analysts
$69.09our TP
$54.65price
$76.76mean
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $54.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Positive momentum
Risks
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.5
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$28.9B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.80
Dividend0.90%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.8
Bollinger
3.5
Support Resistance
3.9
GatesMomentum 7.0>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.39Resistance $59.91

Price Targets

$51
$69
A.Upside+26.6%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $54.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $69.09 (+26.4%), stop $50.76 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.09 (+26.6% upside). Target $69.09 (+26.4%), stop $50.76 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $50.76.

What are the risks of investing in GFS?

Weak growth.

Is GFS overvalued or undervalued?

GlobalFoundries Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.5 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GFS?

26 analysts cover GFS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $77.

What does GlobalFoundries Inc. do?GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies...

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, and power management units. The company also provides quantum technology solutions. GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. has a strategic partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy's Genesis Mission to accelerate scientific discovery through artificial intelligence and advanced computing. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Malta, New York.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · DIOD (Diodes Incorporated) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding )
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