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GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. At $67.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application... Read more

$67.22+4.7% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#40 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.21%
IncomeYield0.71%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $63.09Target $71.06(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$78.95+17.5%20 analysts
$71.06our TP
$67.22price
$78.95mean
$60
$125

Sell if holding. At $67.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — GlobalFoundries Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.7%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.0
P/E (Fwd)27.4
Mkt Cap$37.2B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta1.71
Dividend0.71%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$30-55.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
4.7
Value Rank
6.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $57.93Resistance $76.98

Price Targets

$63
$71
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $67.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $63.09. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

What is the GFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.06 (+4.7% upside). Prior stop was $63.09. Stop-loss: $63.09.

What are the risks of investing in GFS?

Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is GFS overvalued or undervalued?

GlobalFoundries Inc. trades at a P/E of 51.0 (forward 27.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GFS?

26 analysts cover GFS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $79.

What does GlobalFoundries Inc. do?GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies...

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, and power management units. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Malta, New York.

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