GFL's free cash flow conversion at just 16% of net income, a confirmed downtrend with a death cross, and quality below the minimum threshold collectively render the setup unattractive despite a wide gap to analyst price targets.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor↓Deteriorating
- Free Cash Flow Quality Red Flag→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin (GFL) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $39.68: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 14.06; Below-average business quality.
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $39.68: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 14.06; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin
Latest news
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on GFL Environmental, Raises Price Target to $41 — benzinga Jul 16, 2026 negative
- NEWS 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Tuesday's Pre-Market Session — benzinga Jul 14, 2026 neutral
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on GFL Environmental, Lowers Price Target to $40 — benzinga Jul 6, 2026 negative
- NEWS GFL Environmental Explores Sale as Stock Slumps — benzinga Jul 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS GFL Environmental To Join The Russell 1000 And Russell 3000 Indexes, Effective June 29 — benzinga Jun 25, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-26T09:23:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $39.68: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 14.06; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $37.68. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $43.46 (+9.5% upside). Prior stop was $37.68. Stop-loss: $37.68.
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin trades at a P/E of 110.2 (forward 42.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover GFL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $50.
What does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin do?GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It...
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.