GFL's free cash flow conversion at just 16% of net income, a confirmed downtrend with a death cross, and quality below the minimum threshold collectively render the setup unattractive despite a wide gap to analyst price targets.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor↓Deteriorating
- Free Cash Flow Quality Red Flag→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin (GFL) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.90: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality.
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.90: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin
Latest news
- NEWS Scotiabank Maintains Sector Outperform on GFL Environmental, Raises Price Target to $56 — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 positive
- NEWS GFL Environmental Raises FY2026 Sales Guidance from $5.337B-$5.352B to $5.425B-$5.439B vs $5.410B Est — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS GFL Environmental Q2 Adj. EPS $0.14 Misses $0.16 Estimate, Sales $1.407B Beat $1.400B Estimate — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Watching GFL Environmental; Traders Circulate Unconfirmed M&A Blog Comments Saying Sales Process Has Advanced In A Very — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on GFL Environmental, Raises Price Target to $41 — benzinga Jul 16, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-08-15T10:37:19Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.90: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $39.54. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $44.81 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $39.54. Stop-loss: $39.54.
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 47.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover GFL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $52.
What does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin do?GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It...
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.