Waste Management is a high-quality business with a 30% return on equity and top-tier peer ranking on quality, but the stock has only 6.2% upside to analyst targets, two recent earnings misses, and sits below its 200-day moving average, leaving insufficient margin of safety at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Return On Equity→Stable
- Thin Upside To Analyst Target→Stable
- Recent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $228.98 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $228.98 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Waste Management, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - StockStory — StockStory negative
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS WASTE MANAGEMENT ($WM) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS WM - Waste Management Inc Stock Price and Quote - Finviz — Finviz neutral
- NEWS A Look At Waste Management (WM) Valuation As Earnings Approach After Prior Revenue And Income Miss - simplywall.st — simplywall.st negative
Generated 2026-07-07T10:21:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-13Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. _Retirement of Mr. Carrasco_ On May 8, 2026, Mr. Rafael E.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $228.98 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $219.90. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $230.44 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $219.90. Stop-loss: $219.90.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Waste Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 24.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover WM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $256.
What does Waste Management, Inc. do?Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the...
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated variable interest entities. When we use the term "WMI," we are referring only to Waste Management, Inc., the parent holding company.