Waste Management is a high-quality business with a 30% return on equity and top-tier peer ranking on quality, but the stock has only 6.2% upside to analyst targets, two recent earnings misses, and sits below its 200-day moving average, leaving insufficient margin of safety at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Return On Equity→Stable
- Thin Upside To Analyst Target→Stable
- Recent Earnings Miss Pattern↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 9, 2026· older than 90 days
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $238.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.9% away).
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $238.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.9% away). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 2, 2026Recent Developments — Waste Management, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Sunday Lake Gold Corp. Appoints Michael Westendorf to Board of Directors — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Price Today: $231.94 - Pluang — Pluang Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Price Today: $232 - Pluang — Pluang Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Waste Management falls as quarterly earnings miss estimates, costs rise (WM:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Oct 27, 2026 negative
- NEWS Waste Management’s (NYSE:WM) Q3 2026: beats on revenue - TradingView — TradingView Oct 27, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:12Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-26Item 5.02MEDIUMOn August 24, 2026, James C. Fish, Jr. notified the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Waste Management, Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $238.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.9% away). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $226.99. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $229.82 reached (−3.6% from $238.49); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $226.99. Stop-loss: $226.99.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Waste Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 26.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
38 analysts rate WM, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 25 analysts publish price targets averaging $255.
What does Waste Management, Inc. do?Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the...
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated variable interest entities. When we use the term "WMI," we are referring only to Waste Management, Inc., the parent holding company.