Skip to main content

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Industrials · Waste Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $232.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and... Read more

$232.40-0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#2 of 7 Waste Management
Stop $223.79Target $231.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$254.72+9.6%25 analysts
$231.40our TP
$232.40price
$254.72mean
$210
$285

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $232.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.3
P/E (Fwd)24.9
Mkt Cap$92.9B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE29.9%
Rev Growth3.5%
Beta0.55
Dividend1.48%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV36%normal
Max Pain$350+50.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    [10.1](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/823768/000110465926027703/tm268718d1_ex10-1.htm) | | [Transition success bonus letter agreement dated March 13, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/823768/000110465926027703/tm268718d1_ex10-1.htm) | | 104 | | Cover Page Interactive Data Fi...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Performance Calculation Date ("PCD") | | As of December 31, 2028; award (if any) paid out after certification by the Committee of actual level of achievement ("payment date").
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $221.51Resistance $236.12

Price Targets

$224
$231
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $232.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $223.79. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the WM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $231.40 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $223.79. Stop-loss: $223.79.

What are the risks of investing in WM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is WM overvalued or undervalued?

Waste Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 24.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WM?

39 analysts cover WM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $255.

What does Waste Management, Inc. do?Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the...

Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated variable interest entities. When we use the term "WMI," we are referring only to Waste Management, Inc., the parent holding company.

Related stocks: GFL (GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin) · RSG (Republic Services, Inc.) · WCN (Waste Connections, Inc.) · CLH (Clean Harbors, Inc.)