Waste Connections has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with consistent low-single-digit positive surprises and holds an 18.4% upside to analyst consensus targets, but trades in a confirmed price downtrend below the 200-day moving average with weak organic growth.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Earnings Reliability↓Deteriorating
- Confirmed Price Downtrend Below 200ma↓Deteriorating
- Analyst Consensus Upside 18 Percent↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026· older than 90 days
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $186.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away).
Waste Connections, Inc. is the third largest solid waste services company in North America, providing non-hazardous waste collection, transfer and disposal services, including by rail, along with resource recovery primarily through recycling and renewable fuels generation, in 46... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $186.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 21, 2026Recent Developments — Waste Connections, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Waste Connections’s (NYSE:WCN) Q3 2026: beats on revenue - StockStory — StockStory Oct 21, 2026 positive
- NEWS Waste Connections (WCN) Releases Q3 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Waste Connections’s (NYSE:WCN) Q3 2026: beats on revenue - TradingView — TradingView Oct 21, 2026 positive
- NEWS Waste Connections raises outlook as landfill volumes improve (WCN:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Oct 21, 2026 positive
- NEWS How Investors May Respond To Waste Connections Stock As Earnings Near - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 21, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:59:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $186.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $176.02. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $185.83 reached (−0.4% from $186.66); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $176.02. Stop-loss: $176.02.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Waste Connections, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.9 (forward 30.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts rate WCN, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 25 analysts publish price targets averaging $206.
What does Waste Connections, Inc. do?Waste Connections, Inc. is the third largest solid waste services company in North America, providing non-hazardous...
Waste Connections, Inc. is the third largest solid waste services company in North America, providing non-hazardous waste collection, transfer and disposal services, including by rail, along with resource recovery primarily through recycling and renewable fuels generation, in 46 states in the U.S. and six provinces in Canada.