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GFLGFL Environmental Inc. SubordinSell5.1·$36.13+0.50%
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GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin (GFL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Waste Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.13: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.53; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and... Read more

$36.13+20.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 7 Waste Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.26%
IncomeYield0.18%(5y avg 0.14%)Payout16.69%sustainable
Stop $34.17Target $43.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$50.04+38.5%12 analysts
$43.53our TP
$36.13price
$50.04mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.13: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.53; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin

Generated 2026-06-17T09:07:23Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)99.9
P/E (Fwd)40.5
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.50
Dividend0.18%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.53bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$50+38.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.1
Roa
0.9
Roe
1.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Fcf Quality
1.3
Net Margin
1.6
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 16% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
3.1
Support Resistance
3.9
52w Position
4.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.33Resistance $37.92

Price Targets

$34
$44
A.Upside+20.5%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.13: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.53; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $34.17. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.53 (+20.5% upside). Prior stop was $34.17. Stop-loss: $34.17.

What are the risks of investing in GFL?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is GFL overvalued or undervalued?

GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin trades at a P/E of 99.9 (forward 40.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GFL?

18 analysts cover GFL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $50.

What does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin do?GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It...

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.

Related stocks: WM (Waste Management, Inc.) · RSG (Republic Services, Inc.) · CWST (Casella Waste Systems, Inc.) · CLH (Clean Harbors, Inc.) · WCN (Waste Connections, Inc.)
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