GFL's free cash flow conversion at just 16% of net income, a confirmed downtrend with a death cross, and quality below the minimum threshold collectively render the setup unattractive despite a wide gap to analyst price targets.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor↑Improving
- Free Cash Flow Quality Red Flag↑Improving
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin (GFL) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.29: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.51; Below-average business quality.
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.29: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.51; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin
Latest news
- NEWS Truist Securities Maintains Buy on GFL Environmental, Lowers Price Target to $55 — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 negative
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy Rating and Raises Price Target for GFL Environmental — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 positive
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on GFL Environmental, Raises Price Target to $52 — benzinga Nov 2, 2026 positive
- NEWS Truist Adjusts Price Target on GFL Environmental to $55 From $60, Maintains Buy Rating — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Scotiabank Raises Price Target on GFL Environmental — fiscal.ai Oct 30, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.29: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.51; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $42.35. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $45.25 reached (−0.1% from $45.29); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $42.35. Stop-loss: $42.35.
Target reached (-0.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).
GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 48.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts rate GFL, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $52.
What does GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin do?GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It...
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.