Skip to main content

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Waste Management

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $208.43, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Republic Services is one of the largest environmental services providers in North America by revenue, operating 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, 255 transfer stations, 79 recycling centers, and other environmental facilities across the U.S. and Canada. Revenue is... Read more

$208.43+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#3 of 7 Waste Management
Stop $200.60Target $220.84(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$245.38+17.7%24 analysts
$220.84our TP
$208.43price
$245.38mean
$200
$270

Sell if holding. At $208.43, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.9%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.4
P/E (Fwd)25.9
Mkt Cap$64.4B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE18.3%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta0.54
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$270+29.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Ian Craig, age 53, appointed to the Board of Directors on February 10, 2026. No officer departure involved; remainder of filing body was truncated.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Earnings Growth
3.5
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $204.26Resistance $224.99

Price Targets

$201
$221
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RSG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $208.43, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $200.60. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RSG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $220.84 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $200.60. Stop-loss: $200.60.

What are the risks of investing in RSG?

Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is RSG overvalued or undervalued?

Republic Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.4 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RSG?

33 analysts cover RSG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $245.

What does Republic Services, Inc. do?Republic Services is one of the largest environmental services providers in North America by revenue, operating 377...

Republic Services is one of the largest environmental services providers in North America by revenue, operating 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, 255 transfer stations, 79 recycling centers, and other environmental facilities across the U.S. and Canada. Revenue is generated primarily from long-term residential, commercial, and industrial waste collection contracts with municipalities and businesses, plus disposal and environmental solutions services. The company estimates the total U.S. and Canada environmental services market at approximately $163 billion annually.

Related stocks: WM (Waste Management, Inc.) · GFL (GFL Environmental Inc. Subordin) · WCN (Waste Connections, Inc.) · CLH (Clean Harbors, Inc.)