Republic Services has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with best-in-class margins among waste management peers, but a confirmed death cross in its moving averages and a price above the options max pain level of $160 suggest near-term downside pressure that offsets the otherwise solid earnings track record.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins Peer Rank↓Deteriorating
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026· older than 90 days
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away).
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 29, 2026Recent Developments — Republic Services, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS (RSG) Republic Services Now Expects 2026 Revenue Range $17.43B - $17.48B, vs. FactSet Est of $17.33B - marketscreener.co — marketscreener.com Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Republic Services’s (NYSE:RSG) Q3 2026 sales top estimates, full-year outlook slightly exceeds expectations - TradingVie — TradingView Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Republic Services’s (NYSE:RSG) Q3 2026 sales top estimates, full-year outlook slightly exceeds expectations - FinancialC — FinancialContent Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Republic Services (RSG) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Republic Services (RSG) Workers In Salinas Vote To Join Teamsters Local 350 - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 29, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:11Z.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $234.03. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $230.33 reached (−6.1% from $245.41); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $234.03. Stop-loss: $234.03.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Republic Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.0 (forward 30.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts rate RSG, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 24 analysts publish price targets averaging $256.
What does Republic Services, Inc. do?Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada...
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal fees, and recyclable commodity sales, supported by approximately 42,000 full-time employees.