Republic Services has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with best-in-class margins among waste management peers, but a confirmed death cross in its moving averages and a price above the options max pain level of $160 suggest near-term downside pressure that offsets the otherwise solid earnings track record.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins Peer Rank→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. At $212.10, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal... Read more
Sell if holding. At $212.10, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-25Recent Developments — Republic Services, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Keybank National Association OH Decreases Stock Holdings in Republic Services, Inc. $RSG - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Fund Update: 351,378 REPUBLIC SERVICES (RSG) shares added to C WorldWide Group Holding A|S portfolio - Quiver Quantitati — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Republic Services (RSG) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Republic Services (RSG) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- NEWS Republic Services (RSG) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-09-25T21:27:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $212.10, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $205.42. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $221.33 (+4.3% upside). Prior stop was $205.42. Stop-loss: $205.42.
Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Republic Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.1 (forward 26.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
33 analysts cover RSG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $246.
What does Republic Services, Inc. do?Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada...
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal fees, and recyclable commodity sales, supported by approximately 42,000 full-time employees.