Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.10: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Casella Waste Systems is a vertically integrated regional solid waste company serving New England, New York, and Mid-Atlantic states through Eastern, Western, Mid-Atlantic, and Resource Solutions segments, with 2025 revenues of approximately $1.84B across the four segments.... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.10: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Latest news
- Barclays Upgrades Casella Waste Systems to Overweight, Raises Price Target to $102 — benzinga May 4, 2026 positive
- Casella Waste Systems Raises FY2026 Sales Guidance from $1.970B-$1.990B to $2.060B-$2.080B vs $2.007B Est — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 positive
- Casella Waste Sys Q1 Adj. EPS $0.20 Beats $0.10 Estimate, Sales $457.300M Beat $454.565M Estimate — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 positive
- Earnings Scheduled For April 30, 2026 — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNew England, New York, Pennsylvania and other Mid-Atlantic states10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations and customers are concentrated principally in New England, New York, Pennsylvania and other Mid-Atlantic states'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-10Item 5.02MEDIUMSVP and COO of Solid Waste Operations Sean Steves resigned effective March 20, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. Company initiated search for successor. No disagreement with operations, policies, or practices cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.10: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $81.93. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $97.44 (+10.6% upside). Prior stop was $81.93. Stop-loss: $81.93.
Concentration risk — Geographic: New England, New York, Pennsylvania and other Mid-Atlantic states; Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 800.9 (forward 58.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover CWST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $112.
What does Casella Waste Systems, Inc. do?Casella Waste Systems is a vertically integrated regional solid waste company serving New England, New York, and...
Casella Waste Systems is a vertically integrated regional solid waste company serving New England, New York, and Mid-Atlantic states through Eastern, Western, Mid-Atlantic, and Resource Solutions segments, with 2025 revenues of approximately $1.84B across the four segments. Revenue comes from collection, disposal tipping fees, recycling, and organics services under multi-year contracts with commercial, municipal, and residential customers. The company has made 76 acquisitions since 2018 and operates 9 landfills across the Northeast.