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GEVOGevo, Inc.Hold5.2·$1.51-1.95%
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Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.41 vs price $1.51 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $381M below $400M minimum.

Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the... Read more

$1.51+18.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#30 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.86%
Stop $1.40Target $1.79(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$5.41+258.4%4 analysts
$1.79our TP
$1.51price
$5.41mean
$14

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.41 vs price $1.51 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $381M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $381M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-20

Recent Developments — Gevo, Inc.

Generated 2026-08-20T15:12:32Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.41 vs price $1.51 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $381M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)25.7
Mkt Cap$381M
EV/EBITDA-20.9
Profit Mgn-119.9%
ROE-55.5%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV130%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
3.7
Value Rank
4.1

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
4.9
Moat
5.1
Fcf Quality
5.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.1
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 10%, FCF yield 4.9%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5INSIDER 0.44%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.40Resistance $1.83

Price Targets

$1
$2
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.41 vs price $1.51 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $381M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEVO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.41 vs price $1.51 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $381M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $381M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $1.79 (+18.5%), stop $1.40 (−7.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GEVO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.79 (+18.5% upside). Target $1.79 (+18.5%), stop $1.40 (−7.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $1.40.

What are the risks of investing in GEVO?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $5.41 vs price $1.51 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $381M below $400M minimum.

Is GEVO overvalued or undervalued?

Gevo, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 25.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GEVO?

11 analysts cover GEVO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Gevo, Inc. do?Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND....

Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. In addition, it offers products manufactured by ethanol plant, including ethanol and distillers grains. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

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