A leisure business trading at over 50 times forward earnings carries below-minimum business quality, a 2-and-2 earnings record over the past year, and 21% short interest — with only 2.6% headroom to the near-term price ceiling and a risk/reward of 0.37-to-1, the setup offers no margin of safety despite a constructive near-term price chart.
Thesis pillars
- Below Minimum Business Quality→Stable
- Erratic Earnings Track Record↓Deteriorating
- Heavy Short Interest And Elevated Iv↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.23: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.23: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Six Flags Entertainment Corpora
Latest news
- NEWS Jana Partners' Six Flags Bet With Travis Kelce: A Fumble so Far, but the Game Isn't Over — benzinga Sep 2, 2026 negative
- NEWS Six Flags Announces Plan To Relocate Corporate Headquarters To Arlington, Texas; Transition Expected Complete By March 2 — benzinga Aug 25, 2026 positive
- NEWS Jana Partners Takes New Stake In Six Flags Entertainment Corp With 4,116,099 Shares. — benzinga Aug 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Six Flags Entertainment, Lowers Price Target to $22 — benzinga Aug 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Barclays Maintains Overweight on Six Flags Entertainment, Lowers Price Target to $22 — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-09-04T15:02:10Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-02Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
- 2026-07-01Item 5.02MEDIUMSIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | | | (Registrant) | | | Date: | July 1, 2026 | By: | /s/ Christopher L. Bennett | | | Christopher L. Bennett Chief Legal and Compliance Officer and SecretarySEC filing →
- 2026-05-27Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.23: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.16. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $18.60 (+22.2% upside). Prior stop was $14.16. Stop-loss: $14.16.
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 565.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover FUN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $21.
What does Six Flags Entertainment Corpora do?The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated...
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in Canada. The parks are family-oriented, with recreational facilities for people of all ages, and provide clean and attractive environments with exciting rides and immersive entertainment.