A leisure business trading at over 50 times forward earnings carries below-minimum business quality, a 2-and-2 earnings record over the past year, and 21% short interest — with only 2.6% headroom to the near-term price ceiling and a risk/reward of 0.37-to-1, the setup offers no margin of safety despite a constructive near-term price chart.
Thesis pillars
- Below Minimum Business Quality→Stable
- Erratic Earnings Track Record↑Improving
- Heavy Short Interest And Elevated Iv↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.37: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality.
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.37: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Six Flags Entertainment Corpora
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Jul 2, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
- 8K Jul 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | | | (Registrant) | | | Date: | July 1, 2026 | By: | /s/ Christopher L. Bennett | | | Christopher L. Bennett Chief Legal and Compliance Officer and Secretary
Latest news
- NEWS Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Six Flags Entertainment, Lowers Price Target to $28 — benzinga Jul 24, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Six Flags Entertainment, Lowers Price Target to $19 — benzinga Jul 10, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Tesla, Ford And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Monday — benzinga Jul 6, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Six Flags Entertainment Appoints Mark Pauls As COO, Effective July 15, Succeeding Tim Fisher — benzinga Jul 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citizens Initiates Coverage On Six Flags Entertainment with Market Outperform Rating, Announces Price Target of $29 — benzinga Jun 29, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-26T09:57:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-02Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
- 2026-07-01Item 5.02MEDIUMSIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | | | (Registrant) | | | Date: | July 1, 2026 | By: | /s/ Christopher L. Bennett | | | Christopher L. Bennett Chief Legal and Compliance Officer and SecretarySEC filing →
- 2026-05-27Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-20Item 5.02MEDIUMDelaware | | 001-42157 | | 93-4097909 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File No.) | | (I.R.S.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Volatile — 5.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.37: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.15. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $22.55 (+29.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.15. Stop-loss: $16.15.
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 39.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover FUN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $26.
What does Six Flags Entertainment Corpora do?The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated...
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in Canada. The parks are family-oriented, with recreational facilities for people of all ages, and provide clean and attractive environments with exciting rides and immersive entertainment.