Four consecutive earnings beats and exceptional cash conversion — free cash flow running at 213% of net income — make the valuation look attractive at 13.4 times operating cash flow, but a confirmed price downtrend with a moving average declining at 5.3% per month and a death cross mean the fundamental quality has not yet translated into price recovery.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Cash Conversion Valuation→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Record→Stable
- Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
FirstService Corporation (FSV) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Sell if holding. At $137.46, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $137.46, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — FirstService Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS FirstService (TSX:FSV) Draws Attention After Technical Milestone - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS FirstService earnings up next: Roofing growth in focus By Investing.com - Investing.com Canada — Investing.com Canada neutral
- NEWS FirstService earnings up next: Roofing growth in focus By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria — Investing.com Nigeria neutral
- NEWS FirstService (TSE:FSV) Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Should You Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Is It Time To Reassess FirstService (TSX:FSV) After Recent Share Price Weakness? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-07-26T14:02:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $137.46, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $127.84. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $154.53 (+12.4% upside). Prior stop was $127.84. Stop-loss: $127.84.
Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
FirstService Corporation trades at a P/E of 38.9 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover FSV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $178.
What does FirstService Corporation do?FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential...
FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. The FirstService Residential segment operates as a full-service property manager and provides a range of ancillary services, including on-site staffing for building engineering and maintenance, full-service amenity management, security, concierge and front desk personnel; proprietary banking and insurance products; and energy conservation and management solutions. This segment serves condominiums, co-operatives, homeowner associations, master-planned communities, active adult and lifestyle communities, and other residential developments governed by common interest or multi-unit residential community associations. Its FirstService Brands segment offers property services to residential and commercial customers in North America through company-owned operations and franchise systems under the First Onsite Property Restoration, Paul Davis Restoration, Roofing Corp of America, Century Fire Protection, California Closets, CertaPro Painters, Floor Coverings International, and Pillar to Post Home Inspectors brands. This segment also provides light restoration services, including full-service water, fire and mold cleanup, construction rebuild, and restoration services; painting services; custom-designed and installed closet and home storage solutions; home inspection services; and floor covering design and installation services. FirstService Corporation was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.