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BEKEKE Holdings IncSell5.4·$16.18+0.65%
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KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.18: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home... Read more

$16.18+27.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 16 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.53%
IncomeYield1.72%Payout88.12%
Stop $15.38Target $20.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$22.87+41.3%21 analysts
$20.58our TP
$16.18price
$22.87mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.18: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — KE Holdings Inc

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-09T22:26:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.5
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$17.9B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth-19.0%
Beta-0.35
Dividend1.72%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Roa
1.0
Roe
1.7
Net Margin
1.9
Operating Margin
2.7
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
5.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -8% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.86Resistance $19.77

Price Targets

$15
$21
A.Upside+27.2%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.18: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $15.38. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BEKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.58 (+27.4% upside). Prior stop was $15.38. Stop-loss: $15.38.

What are the risks of investing in BEKE?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is BEKE overvalued or undervalued?

KE Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEKE?

23 analysts cover BEKE with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $23.

What does KE Holdings Inc do?KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing...

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home Transaction Services, Home Renovation and Furnishing, Home rental services, and Emerging and Other Services. It operates Beike, an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services; Lianjia, a real estate brokerage brand; Agent Cooperation Network, an operating system that fosters reciprocity and bonding among various service providers. The company also owns the Deyou brand for connected brokerage stores; and other brands. In addition, it offers rental property management and operation services; and contract, secure payment, escrow, and other services. KE Holdings Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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