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BEKEKE Holdings IncHold6.4·$18.32+3.33%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

KE Holdings screens attractively on an operating cash flow basis, but two failed momentum gates — including a confirmed death cross — and revenue declining 19% indicate the underlying property brokerage business is contracting; the gap between cheap valuation and eroding fundamentals defines the central investment question.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Contraction HeadwindImproving
  • Negative Free Cash Flow QualityImproving
  • Death Cross Technical BreakdownImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home... Read more

$18.32+16.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 18 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield21.51%
IncomeYield1.56%Payout44.94%
Stop $17.16Target $21.25(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$23.61+28.9%21 analysts
$21.25our TP
$18.32price
$23.61mean
$28

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.5
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$20.2B
EV/EBITDA-2.2
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth-5.7%
Beta-0.26
Dividend1.56%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$19+3.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
2.6
Gap
3.0
52w Position
7.7
Extreme gap up (5.0%) - may pull back
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.6>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.67Resistance $18.90

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+16.0%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts23
Consensus4.4/5
Avg Target$24

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEKE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $21.25 (+16.0%), stop $17.16 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BEKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.25 (+16.0% upside). Target $21.25 (+16.0%), stop $17.16 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $17.16.

Is BEKE overvalued or undervalued?

KE Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of 29.5 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BEKE?

23 analysts cover BEKE with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $24.

What does KE Holdings Inc do?KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing...

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home Transaction Services, Home Renovation and Furnishing, Home rental services, and Emerging and Other Services. It operates Beike, an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services; Lianjia, a real estate brokerage brand; Agent Cooperation Network, an operating system that fosters reciprocity and bonding among various service providers. The company also owns the Deyou brand for connected brokerage stores; and other brands. In addition, it offers rental property management and operation services; and contract, secure payment, escrow, and other services. KE Holdings Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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