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KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.39: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home... Read more

$16.39+13.0% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#13 of 16 Real Estate Services
Stop $15.51Target $18.52(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$20.58+25.6%21 analysts
$18.52our TP
$16.39price
$20.58mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.39: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.1
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$17.8B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth-28.7%
Beta-0.53
Dividend1.73%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -28.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -29%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.3
Roa
0.7
Roe
1.4
Net Margin
1.6
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -28% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
2.5
52w Position
4.9
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.38Resistance $16.64

Price Targets

$16
$19
A.Upside+13.0%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.39: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $15.51. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BEKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.52 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $15.51. Stop-loss: $15.51.

What are the risks of investing in BEKE?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is BEKE overvalued or undervalued?

KE Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of 42.1 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEKE?

23 analysts cover BEKE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $21.

What does KE Holdings Inc do?KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing...

KE Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in operating an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through five segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home Transaction Services, Home Renovation and Furnishing, Home rental services, and Emerging and Other Services. It operates Beike, an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services; Lianjia, a real estate brokerage brand; Agent Cooperation Network, an operating system that fosters reciprocity and bonding among various service providers. The company also owns the Deyou brand for connected brokerage stores; and other brands. In addition, it offers rental property management and operation services; and contract, secure payment, escrow, and other services. KE Holdings Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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