Four consecutive earnings beats and exceptional cash conversion — free cash flow running at 213% of net income — make the valuation look attractive at 13.4 times operating cash flow, but a confirmed price downtrend with a moving average declining at 5.3% per month and a death cross mean the fundamental quality has not yet translated into price recovery.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Cash Conversion Valuation→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Record↓Deteriorating
- Confirmed Price Downtrend↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
FirstService Corporation (FSV) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Sell if holding. At $148.90, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).
FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $148.90, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
No fresh coverage since Oct 20, 2026
Recent Developments — FirstService Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS FirstService Corp (FSV) Stock Up 3.8% and Still Undervalued -- G - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 20, 2026 positive
- NEWS FirstService Corp (FSV) Stock Up 3.8% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 77/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 20, 2026 positive
- NEWS FirstService schedules October 22 results: FirstService stock gains 2.92 percent - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS Oct 20, 2026 positive
- NEWS Stocks in play: FirstService - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail Oct 20, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Why FirstService Corporation (TSX:FSV) Q2 2026 results pair residential growth with softer organic revenue in its Brands — kalkine.ca Oct 14, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 20, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $148.90, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $139.12. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $155.73 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $139.12. Stop-loss: $139.12.
Thin upside margin: 4.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
FirstService Corporation trades at a P/E of 45.7 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts rate FSV, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $179.
What does FirstService Corporation do?FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential...
FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. The FirstService Residential segment operates as a full-service property manager and provides a range of ancillary services, including on-site staffing for building engineering and maintenance, full-service amenity management, security, concierge and front desk personnel; proprietary banking and insurance products; and energy conservation and management solutions. This segment serves condominiums, co-operatives, homeowner associations, master-planned communities, active adult and lifestyle communities, and other residential developments governed by common interest or multi-unit residential community associations. Its FirstService Brands segment offers property services to residential and commercial customers in North America through company-owned operations and franchise systems under the First Onsite Property Restoration, Paul Davis Restoration, Roofing Corp of America, Century Fire Protection, California Closets, CertaPro Painters, Floor Coverings International, and Pillar to Post Home Inspectors brands. This segment also provides light restoration services, including full-service water, fire and mold cleanup, construction rebuild, and restoration services; painting services; custom-designed and installed closet and home storage solutions; home inspection services; and floor covering design and installation services. FirstService Corporation was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.