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MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.Sell5.9·$28.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Marcus & Millichap carries a near-perfect Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 and a constructive technical breakout pattern, but the stock is priced within 3.2% of its technical resistance target, the reward-to-risk ratio stands at an unfavorable 0.51-to-1, and the dividend yield appears potentially uncovered — making the current entry unattractive on a risk-adjusted basis.

Thesis pillars

  • Unfavorable Risk Reward Near Target→Stable
  • Below Minimum Business Quality→Stable
  • Dividend Safety Concern↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.22 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of... Read more

$28.22-15.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#7 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.31%
IncomeYield1.75%(5y avg 1.29%)Payout135.14%
Stop $27.20Target $30.99(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$28.00-0.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.22 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)77.3
P/E (Fwd)30.8
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA45.2
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth17.8%
Beta1.30
Dividend1.75%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV94%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, we earned approximately 27% of our revenue from offices in California.'
  • MEDIUMProductMMCC acquisition-financing placements42%
    10-K Item 1: 'During 2025, approximately 42% of MMCC’s revenue came from placing acquisition financing, 33% from refinancing activities, and 25% from other financing activities.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.04Resistance $31.62

Price Targets

$27
$31
A.Upside-15.7%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.7% upside)
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MMI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.22 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.20. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.99 (-15.7% upside). Prior stop was $27.20. Stop-loss: $27.20.

What are the risks of investing in MMI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is MMI overvalued or undervalued?

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. trades at a P/E of 77.3 (forward 30.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MMI?

9 analysts cover MMI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Marcus & Millichap, Inc. do?Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client...

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of 2025 revenue, more than any other state, and the business depends on retaining independent-contractor investment sales and financing professionals.

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