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MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$31.48-0.66%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Marcus & Millichap carries a near-perfect Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 and a constructive technical breakout pattern, but the stock is priced within 3.2% of its technical resistance target, the reward-to-risk ratio stands at an unfavorable 0.51-to-1, and the dividend yield appears potentially uncovered — making the current entry unattractive on a risk-adjusted basis.

Thesis pillars

  • Unfavorable Risk Reward Near TargetDeteriorating
  • Below Minimum Business QualityImproving
  • Dividend Safety ConcernImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Wait for pullback to $29.99. BUY gates pass at $31.48, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.99 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of... Read more

$31.48-24.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.58%Payout135.14%
Entry $29.99(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $28.00Target $32.05(resistance)A.R:R -3.9:1
Analyst target$28.00-11.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $29.99. BUY gates pass at $31.48, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.99 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)85.1
P/E (Fwd)35.4
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA49.9
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth17.8%
Beta
Dividend1.58%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV101%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, we earned approximately 27% of our revenue from offices in California.'
  • MEDIUMProductMMCC acquisition-financing placements42%
    10-K Item 1: 'During 2025, approximately 42% of MMCC’s revenue came from placing acquisition financing, 33% from refinancing activities, and 25% from other financing activities.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -3.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.56Resistance $32.70

Price Targets

$28
$30
$32
A.Upside-24.4%
A.R:R-3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MMI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $29.99. BUY gates pass at $31.48, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.99 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $32.05 (+1.8%), stop $28.00 (−12.4%), A.R:R -3.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.05 (-24.4% upside). Target $32.05 (+1.8%), stop $28.00 (−12.4%), A.R:R -3.9:1. Stop-loss: $28.00.

What are the risks of investing in MMI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MMI overvalued or undervalued?

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. trades at a P/E of 85.1 (forward 35.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MMI?

9 analysts cover MMI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Marcus & Millichap, Inc. do?Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client...

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of 2025 revenue, more than any other state, and the business depends on retaining independent-contractor investment sales and financing professionals.

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