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IRSIRSA Inversiones Y RepresentaciSell5.7·$14.75
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

IRSA demonstrates genuine business quality — 73% margins, wide economic moat indicators, and 29% revenue growth — but at the current price the reward-to-risk ratio at spot is approximately 0.3-to-1, well short of a viable entry threshold; the setup rewards patience for a meaningful pullback rather than a new position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Strong Margins↑Improving
  • Strong Revenue Growth↓Deteriorating
  • Poor Spot Entry Geometry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci (IRS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the diversified real estate activities in Argentina. It operates through five segments: Shopping Malls, Offices, Sales and Developments, Hotels, and Others. The company is involved... Read more

$14.75+26.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield13375.27%
IncomeYield16.26%(5y avg 7.64%)Payout40.52%
Stop $14.08Target $18.59(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$21.87+48.2%3 analysts
$18.59our TP
$14.75price
$21.87mean
$23

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 71%
Risks
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.4
P/E (Fwd)56.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA3.3
Profit Mgn56.5%
ROE18.1%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.13
Dividend16.26%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.52Resistance $16.40

Price Targets

$14
$19
A.Upside+26.0%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.08. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.59 (+26.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.08. Stop-loss: $14.08.

What are the risks of investing in IRS?

Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is IRS overvalued or undervalued?

IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci trades at a P/E of 4.4 (forward 56.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IRS?

9 analysts cover IRS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci do?IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the diversified real...

IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the diversified real estate activities in Argentina. It operates through five segments: Shopping Malls, Offices, Sales and Developments, Hotels, and Others. The company is involved in the acquisition, development, and operation of shopping malls, office buildings, and other non-shopping mall properties primarily for rental purposes; and lease and service related to rental of commercial space and other spaces. It also acquires and operates luxury hotels and resorts under the Intercontinental, Libertador, and Llao Llao names; develops, constructs, and sells residential properties, including apartment tower complexes; and acquires undeveloped land reserves for future development or sale. In addition, the company engages in the development and operation of stadium; and provision of ¡appa!, a digital customer loyalty system platform, for consumption in shopping malls, use of parking spaces, and redemption of corporate benefits. Further, it is involved in development, maintenance and sales of undeveloped parcels of land and/or trading properties; room, catering and restaurant services. The company was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima operates as a subsidiary of Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.

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