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IRSIRSA Inversiones Y RepresentaciSell5.5·$12.39
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

IRSA demonstrates genuine business quality — 73% margins, wide economic moat indicators, and 29% revenue growth — but at the current price the reward-to-risk ratio at spot is approximately 0.3-to-1, well short of a viable entry threshold; the setup rewards patience for a meaningful pullback rather than a new position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Strong Margins→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Poor Spot Entry Geometry→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci (IRS) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the diversified real estate activities in Argentina. The company operates through five segments: Shopping Malls, Offices, Sales and Developments, Hotels, and Others. It is involved... Read more

$12.39+50.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#10 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15922.93%
IncomeYield13.07%(5y avg 8.33%)Payout33.81%
Stop $11.67Analyst target $18.59(−15% haircut)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst consensus$21.87+76.5%3 analysts with price targets
$18.59Analyst target
$12.39price
$21.87mean
$23

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 67%
Analyst upside: 50%
Risks
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.2
P/E (Fwd)47.8
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA3.3
Profit Mgn56.5%
ROE18.1%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.13
Dividend13.07%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.9
Macd
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.03Resistance $13.27

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+50.0%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.67. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IRS stock price target?

Analyst target: $18.59 (+50.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.67. Stop-loss: $11.67.

What are the risks of investing in IRS?

Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is IRS overvalued or undervalued?

IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci trades at a P/E of 7.2 (forward 47.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IRS?

9 analysts rate IRS, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $22.

What does IRSA Inversiones Y Representaci do?IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the diversified real...

IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the diversified real estate activities in Argentina. The company operates through five segments: Shopping Malls, Offices, Sales and Developments, Hotels, and Others. It is involved in the acquisition, development, and operation of shopping malls, office buildings, and other non-shopping mall properties primarily for rental purposes; and lease and service related to rental of commercial space and other spaces. The company also acquires and operates luxury hotels and resorts under the Intercontinental, Libertador, and Llao Llao names; develops, constructs, and sells residential properties, including apartment tower complexes; and acquires undeveloped land reserves for future development or sale. In addition, it engages in the development and operation of stadium; provision of ¡appa!, a digital loyalty platform; development, maintenance, and sale of undeveloped parcels of land and/or trading properties; and provision of room, catering, and restaurant services. The company was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima operates as a subsidiary of Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.

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