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JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedSell6.1·$321.91
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four straight earnings beats averaging over 10% upside surprise point to a business with consistent execution, yet below-average free cash flow conversion and a confirmed death cross leave the setup mixed — the risk/reward favors patience over a new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Discipline→Stable
  • Economic Moat Quality Franchise→Stable
  • Favorable Risk Reward Geometry→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $321.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company... Read more

$321.91+14.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.05%
Stop $311.97Target $370.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$425.30+32.1%10 analysts
$370.01our TP
$321.91price
$425.30mean
$500

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $321.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$14.9B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta1.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.78bearish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
15 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $321.62Resistance $383.57

Price Targets

$312
$370
A.Upside+14.9%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JLL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $321.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $311.97. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JLL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $370.01 (+14.9% upside). Prior stop was $311.97. Stop-loss: $311.97.

What are the risks of investing in JLL?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Negative momentum.

Is JLL overvalued or undervalued?

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JLL?

16 analysts cover JLL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $425.

What does Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated do?Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management,...

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company earns fees tied to transaction values, managed square footage (~2.9 billion sq ft), and investment management AUM ($86.4 billion), complemented by servicing a $140.3 billion loan portfolio.

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