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Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Newmark Group is a commercial real estate advisor providing capital markets, leasing, GSE/FHA lending, loan servicing, property management, and occupier solutions to institutional investors and Fortune 500 corporations primarily in the US, with growing international operations.... Read more

$13.95+22.2% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 16 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.07%
IncomeYield1.68%(5y avg 0.92%)Payout14.81%
Stop $13.52Target $17.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$19.58+40.4%6 analysts
$17.04our TP
$13.95price
$19.58mean
$22

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Newmark Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.7
P/E (Fwd)6.6
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth27.2%
Beta1.75
Dividend1.68%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.94Resistance $17.07

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside+22.2%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NMRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $13.52. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NMRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.04 (+22.2% upside). Prior stop was $13.52. Stop-loss: $13.52.

What are the risks of investing in NMRK?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is NMRK overvalued or undervalued?

Newmark Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.7 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NMRK?

13 analysts cover NMRK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Newmark Group, Inc. do?Newmark Group is a commercial real estate advisor providing capital markets, leasing, GSE/FHA lending, loan servicing,...

Newmark Group is a commercial real estate advisor providing capital markets, leasing, GSE/FHA lending, loan servicing, property management, and occupier solutions to institutional investors and Fortune 500 corporations primarily in the US, with growing international operations. The company generated approximately $3.3B in revenues in 2025, diversified across service lines and clients, with the top 10 clients accounting for approximately 9.1% of total revenue. Revenue is primarily from commissions, mortgage origination fees, and servicing fees.

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