Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Sell if holding. At $16.19, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.7%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States.
Newmark Group is a commercial real estate services platform generating approximately $3.3B in 2025 revenues from leasing, capital markets, GSE/FHA lending, loan servicing, property management, valuation, and occupier solutions for large institutional investors and Fortune 500... Read more
Sell if holding. At $16.19, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.7%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUnited States10-K Item 1A: 'we derived the large majority of our total revenues on a consolidated basis for the year ended December 31, 2025 from our operations in the United States'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $16.19, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.7%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $15.08. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.82 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $15.08. Stop-loss: $15.08.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Thin upside margin: 3.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Newmark Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover NMRK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Newmark Group, Inc. do?Newmark Group is a commercial real estate services platform generating approximately $3.3B in 2025 revenues from...
Newmark Group is a commercial real estate services platform generating approximately $3.3B in 2025 revenues from leasing, capital markets, GSE/FHA lending, loan servicing, property management, valuation, and occupier solutions for large institutional investors and Fortune 500 corporations. The company operates primarily in the United States with expanding international presence; top 10 clients accounted for only 9.1% of 2025 revenue.