Four consecutive earnings beats averaging 33% upside surprise, an attractive forward P/E of 8.8x, and 21.5% upside to the price target make a credible value-with-catalyst case, but negative price momentum following an extreme gap down and declining revenue at -9% year-over-year indicate the market is re-rating the business—patience is required before the setup resolves.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Four Quarter Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Attractive Valuation Versus Peers→Stable
- Declining Revenue Headwind→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Fox Corporation (FOX) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Communication Services · Entertainment
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Fox Corporation produces and distributes news, sports, and entertainment content through Cable Network Programming (FOX News, FS1/FS2, Big Ten Network) and Television (FOX broadcast network, 29 stations, Tubi AVOD), primarily in the U.S. Revenue comes from affiliate fees paid by... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
About Fox Corporation
About Fox Corporation
Fox Corporation's content portfolio in fiscal 2025 included FOX News with 61 million U.S. subscribers — #1 cable news in Monday-Friday primetime for over 20 consecutive years — FS1 at 61 million, and Tubi, which streamed approximately 11 billion hours across a library of nearly 300,000 titles, primarily in the U.S. The company generates revenue through affiliate fees and advertising sales, ending fiscal 2025 with approximately $5.4 billion in cash and retiring $600 million of debt during the year.
Fox Corporation earns through two mechanisms: affiliate fees paid by MVPDs (traditional cable, satellite, telecom, and virtual distributors) based on subscriber counts, and advertising sales that vary with audience size and demographic profile. Sports programming — particularly the NFL, MLB, NASCAR, the Big Ten Conference, and the FIFA Men's World Cup — commands higher advertising rates and supports affiliate pricing. The majority of affiliation agreements are multi-year contracts tied to subscriber counts, so ongoing industry-wide MVPD subscriber declines could weigh on affiliate revenue if rate increases do not fully offset. The Television segment delivers 15 hours of weekly primetime programming through the FOX broadcast network to 209 local market affiliates. Tubi grew total view time 13% in fiscal 2025. Primary competitors include CNN and MSNBC for cable news, and ESPN, TNT, and direct-to-consumer services including Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, and Peacock for sports and entertainment.
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Fox Sports secured a significant portion of its marquee sports rights under long-term contracts, adding INDYCAR and LIV Golf rights in fiscal 2025 and extending the Big East Conference agreement through 2031 while concluding its WWE deal. The 10-K warns that an increasing number of bidders for sports programming rights has driven up acquisition costs, and the company may be outbid or unable to renew on favorable terms — each expiry creates a binary outcome depending on whether the rights package can be retained at economically viable rates.
See also: Communication Services · Entertainment
From Fox Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-25Recent Developments — Fox Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Fox Corporation $FOXA Stock Position Raised by Livforsakringsbolaget Skandia Omsesidigt - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Fox Corp. Cl A stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitors - MarketWatch — MarketWatch negative
- NEWS Stock market drops, oil prices spike amid Middle East uncertainty - FOX 5 New York — FOX 5 New York negative
- NEWS Bernstein Sticks to Their Hold Rating for Fox (FOXA) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS Roku (ROKU) Could Be 7% Undervalued As Fox Eyes A $22b Acquisition - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
Generated 2026-07-25T19:56:57Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of distributors10-K Item 1A: 'the Company derives a significant portion of its revenues from a limited number of distributors'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -8.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $51.85 (+5.5%), stop $46.65 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $51.85 (+4.9% upside). Target $51.85 (+5.5%), stop $46.65 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $46.65.
Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Fox Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
26 analysts cover FOX with a consensus score of 3.7/5.
What does Fox Corporation do?Fox Corporation produces and distributes news, sports, and entertainment content through Cable Network Programming (FOX...
Fox Corporation produces and distributes news, sports, and entertainment content through Cable Network Programming (FOX News, FS1/FS2, Big Ten Network) and Television (FOX broadcast network, 29 stations, Tubi AVOD), primarily in the U.S. Revenue comes from affiliate fees paid by MVPDs and advertising sales; FOX News reached 61 million subscribers in fiscal 2025.