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FLYWFlywire Corporation - VotingBuy Wait6.0·$16.17+1.76%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A wide economic moat, a near-perfect financial health score of 9 out of 9, exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 532% of net income, and 41% revenue growth make the business a high-quality franchise among its peers, but at the current price only 8% of headroom remains to the analyst consensus target against approximately 10% of downside — a thin geometry that warrants holding existing positions but not adding until either a price pullback or an upward analyst revision restores a more attractive entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Wide Moat Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Thin Upside Asymmetry FailureStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Flywire Corporation - Voting (FLYW) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Wait for pullback to $14.04. At $16.17 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $14.04 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Negative momentum.

Flywire is a global payments enablement and software company serving education, healthcare, travel, and B2B clients, providing invoicing, cross-border payment processing, and reconciliation software across roughly 5,000 clients including more than 3,200 educational institutions... Read more

$16.17+4.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#35 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.19%
Entry $14.04(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $12.62Target $16.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$19.31+19.4%13 analysts
$16.80our TP
$16.17price
$19.31mean
$22

Wait for pullback to $14.04. At $16.17 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $14.04 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(6), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Flywire Corporation - Voting

About Flywire Corporation - Voting

Flywire enabled more than $37.6 billion in total payment volume in 2025, up from $29.7 billion in 2024, generating revenue of $623.0 million across roughly 5,000 clients spanning education, healthcare, travel, and B2B verticals. The company serves more than 3,200 educational institutions and over 150 healthcare systems, including four of the ten largest U.S. hospital systems by size, while net income reached $13.5 million for the year.

Flywire earns revenue primarily by processing cross-border and in-country domestic payments for its clients' customers -- students, patients, travelers, and businesses -- monetizing the spread between currency conversion, transaction fees, and payment-method costs, supplemented by platform and software fees from its Invoiced and Sertifi acquisitions. The company distributes through channel partnerships with Bank of America, China UnionPay, and Adyen, and integrates with core systems such as Ellucian in education and Cerner in healthcare. Client contracts typically run an initial three-year term and auto-renew annually. Annual net dollar-based retention has declined for three straight years, to 110% in 2025 from 114% in 2024 and 125% in 2023, and the company implemented a restructuring plan in February 2025, including a workforce reduction, to align costs with its current business needs.

Show full overview

Beyond payment economics, Flywire's business model depends on continued access to banking rails: the company discloses that volatility in the banking and financial services sector could impair its bank partnerships, and that its management of both its own operating funds and client funds relies on a limited number of banking partners and financial institutions. Flywire is also regulated as a money services business and is subject to anti-money-laundering, countering-the-financing-of-terrorism, and economic-sanctions requirements across the more than 240 countries and territories where it settles payments, a compliance footprint that scales with -- and could constrain -- its cross-border growth.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Flywire Corporation - Voting's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.53)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.0%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)66.2
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA28.7
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE3.7%
Rev Growth41.0%
Beta1.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C5.50bearish
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Uptrend pullback (RSI 31) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.53%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(6)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.62Resistance $18.98

Price Targets

$13
$14
$17
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLYW stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $14.04. At $16.17 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $14.04 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $16.80 (+3.9%), stop $12.62 (−28.1%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLYW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.80 (+4.0% upside). Target $16.80 (+3.9%), stop $12.62 (−28.1%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $12.62.

What are the risks of investing in FLYW?

Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Negative momentum.

Is FLYW overvalued or undervalued?

Flywire Corporation - Voting trades at a P/E of 66.2 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FLYW?

21 analysts cover FLYW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Flywire Corporation - Voting do?Flywire is a global payments enablement and software company serving education, healthcare, travel, and B2B clients,...

Flywire is a global payments enablement and software company serving education, healthcare, travel, and B2B clients, providing invoicing, cross-border payment processing, and reconciliation software across roughly 5,000 clients including more than 3,200 educational institutions and over 150 healthcare systems. The company generated $623.0 million in revenue in 2025, up from $492.1 million in 2024, enabling more than $37.6 billion in total payment volume, and reported net income of $13.5 million for the year.

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