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FHNFirst Horizon CorporationHold6.1·$25.68-1.42%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

First Horizon has compiled a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging more than 10% above consensus and screens attractively at a forward P/E of 10.5x with a PEG of 0.36; however, there is no identified competitive moat to sustain long-term earnings power, the put/call ratio of 7.22 signals pronounced bearish options positioning, and the stock offers only 0.7% upside to its near-term resistance with an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • No Competitive MoatStable
  • Perfect Beat Streak Near Term CatalystStable
  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

First Horizon Corporation (FHN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away).

First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with $84 billion in total assets and over 450 locations in 23 U.S. states, concentrated in the South. Lending is the primary revenue driver across a $64 billion... Read more

$25.68+7.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#77 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.65%(5y avg 3.34%)Payout31.16%sustainable
Entry $23.96(support + ATR)Stop $23.00Target $25.77(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$27.37+6.6%19 analysts
$25.77our TP
$25.68price
$27.37mean
$25
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $25.68 has reached target $25.77. No upside to wait for. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.83)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$12.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn29.9%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.61
Dividend2.65%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.91bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.71Resistance $26.30

Price Targets

$23
$24
$26
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FHN.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FHN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $25.68 has reached target $25.77. No upside to wait for. Target $25.77 (+0.4%), stop $23.00 (−11.7%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FHN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.77 (+7.6% upside). Target $25.77 (+0.4%), stop $23.00 (−11.7%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $23.00.

What are the risks of investing in FHN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away).

Is FHN overvalued or undervalued?

First Horizon Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FHN?

24 analysts cover FHN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $27.

What does First Horizon Corporation do?First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with...

First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with $84 billion in total assets and over 450 locations in 23 U.S. states, concentrated in the South. Lending is the primary revenue driver across a $64 billion loan portfolio, with commercial and industrial loans the dominant segment; the wholesale banking arm serves institutional clients through fixed income trading and capital markets.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.)
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