Skip to main content
FHNFirst Horizon CorporationBuy Wait6.2·$26.22+0.77%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

First Horizon has compiled a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging more than 10% above consensus and screens attractively at a forward P/E of 10.5x with a PEG of 0.36; however, there is no identified competitive moat to sustain long-term earnings power, the put/call ratio of 7.22 signals pronounced bearish options positioning, and the stock offers only 0.7% upside to its near-term resistance with an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • No Competitive MoatImproving
  • Perfect Beat Streak Near Term CatalystDeteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

First Horizon Corporation (FHN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $24.04. BUY gates pass at $26.22, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (1.3% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $24.04 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with $84 billion in total assets and over 450 locations in 23 U.S. states, concentrated in the South. Lending is the primary revenue driver across a $64 billion... Read more

$26.22-3.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#88 of 224 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.63%(5y avg 3.30%)Payout30.77%sustainable
Entry $24.04(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $23.11Target $30.15(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$28.11+7.2%19 analysts
$30.15our TP
$26.22price
$28.11mean
$25
$31

Wait for pullback to $24.04. BUY gates pass at $26.22, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (1.3% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $24.04 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 14, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$12.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn30.2%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta0.62
Dividend2.63%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.07Resistance $26.43

Price Targets

$23
$24
$30
A.Upside-3.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-14 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FHN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $24.04. BUY gates pass at $26.22, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (1.3% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $24.04 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $30.15 (+15.0%), stop $23.11 (−13.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FHN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.15 (-3.5% upside). Target $30.15 (+15.0%), stop $23.11 (−13.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $23.11.

What are the risks of investing in FHN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

Is FHN overvalued or undervalued?

First Horizon Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FHN?

24 analysts cover FHN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $28.

What does First Horizon Corporation do?First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with...

First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with $84 billion in total assets and over 450 locations in 23 U.S. states, concentrated in the South. Lending is the primary revenue driver across a $64 billion loan portfolio, with commercial and industrial loans the dominant segment; the wholesale banking arm serves institutional clients through fixed income trading and capital markets.

Related stocks: BBT (Beacon Financial Corporation) · FBK (FB Financial Corporation) · RNST (Renasant Corporation) · SFBS (ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo)
Home Stocks FHN

Latest news

Latest News

Xã Vĩnh Công115d ago
StockStory115d agoEarnings
GuruFocus31d ago
Seeking Alpha31d ago
Seeking Alpha31d ago
Simplywall.st31d ago
MarketBeat31d ago
AlphaStreet31d agoEarnings
MarketBeat31d ago
Sharewise.com31d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance31d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance31d ago
StockStory31d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative31d agoEarnings
KING5.com31d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com31d agoEarnings
Investing.com122d agoAnalyst
FinancialContent122d ago
Yahoo Finance3d ago
富途牛牛3d agoAnalyst
Loading more...