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FHNFirst Horizon CorporationSell6.1·$23.74
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

First Horizon has compiled a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging more than 10% above consensus and screens attractively at a forward P/E of 10.5x with a PEG of 0.36; however, there is no identified competitive moat to sustain long-term earnings power, the put/call ratio of 7.22 signals pronounced bearish options positioning, and the stock offers only 0.7% upside to its near-term resistance with an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • No Competitive Moat→Stable
  • Perfect Beat Streak Near Term Catalyst→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

First Horizon Corporation (FHN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.74: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with $84 billion in total assets and over 450 locations in 23 U.S. states, concentrated in the South. Lending is the primary revenue driver across a $64 billion... Read more

$23.74+2.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#98 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.86%(5y avg 3.10%)Payout30.77%sustainable
Stop $22.82Analyst target $24.42(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$27.13+14.3%21 analysts with price targets
$24.42Analyst target
$23.74price
$27.13mean
$31

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.74: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — First Horizon Corporation

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 13, 202769d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$11.2B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.4%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth-51.7%
Beta0.62
Dividend2.86%
Analysts with ratings26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$14-41.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Roe
2.6
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Net Margin
10.0
Strong margins: 23%No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.25Resistance $24.25

Price Targets

$23
$24
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-13 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FHN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.74: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $22.82. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FHN stock price target?

Analyst target: $24.42 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $22.82. Stop-loss: $22.82.

What are the risks of investing in FHN?

Target reached (2.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is FHN overvalued or undervalued?

First Horizon Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FHN?

26 analysts rate FHN, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 21 analysts publish price targets averaging $27.

What does First Horizon Corporation do?First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with...

First Horizon Corporation provides commercial, consumer, wealth, and wholesale banking through First Horizon Bank, with $84 billion in total assets and over 450 locations in 23 U.S. states, concentrated in the South. Lending is the primary revenue driver across a $64 billion loan portfolio, with commercial and industrial loans the dominant segment; the wholesale banking arm serves institutional clients through fixed income trading and capital markets.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · BHRB (Burke & Herbert Financial Servi) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · HBT (HBT Financial, Inc.) · MCB (Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp.)
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