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FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.Hold5.3·$250.09+1.85%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

FactSet is a high-quality financial data franchise with a wide economic moat, strong returns, and 13.2% headroom to its resistance target — but a confirmed price downtrend, geographic and customer concentration blocks, and mixed earnings delivery create a complex setup where franchise quality and technical risk pull in opposite directions.

Thesis pillars

  • Material Upside With Short OverhangStable
  • Wide Economic Moat QualityStable
  • Earnings Recovery TrendStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $250.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%).

FactSet Research Systems is a global financial digital platform and enterprise-solutions provider delivering data, analytics and AI-powered technology to roughly 9,000 clients and 237,000 investment professionals across Americas, EMEA and Asia Pacific segments. The Americas... Read more

$250.09+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#10 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.98%
IncomeYield1.86%(5y avg 1.00%)Payout29.38%sustainable
Stop $232.58Target $259.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$250.69+0.2%16 analysts
$259.08our TP
$250.09price
$250.69mean
$200
$380

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $250.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About FactSet Research Systems Inc.

About FactSet Research Systems Inc.

FactSet served approximately 9,000 clients and 237,000 investment professionals as of August 31, 2025, with the Americas generating 65% of fiscal 2025 revenue, EMEA 25% and Asia Pacific 10%. Buy-side clients — institutional asset managers, wealth managers and hedge funds — accounted for approximately 82% of Organic ASV, while the company's P.A.N. Securities subsidiary operates as a FINRA-registered broker-dealer subject to SEC net capital rules.

FactSet earns the majority of its revenue from multi-year subscriptions to its connected data and technology platform, sold across four firm types — Institutional Buyside, Dealmakers, Wealth, and Partnerships and CGS — with CGS serving as the exclusive global issuer of CUSIP and CINS identifiers and the official U.S. numbering agency for ISINs. Annual ASV retention exceeded 95% in fiscal 2025, with 91% client-count retention. The company competes against Bloomberg, S&P's Market Intelligence division and LSEG's Data & Analytics division (formerly Refinitiv), as well as BlackRock Aladdin, MSCI and Morningstar. On the input side, FactSet says it is not dependent on any single third-party data supplier, though two data suppliers each represented more than 10% of total data costs in fiscal 2025, and one cloud-computing provider supplied the majority of its cloud support.

Show full overview

FactSet's buy-side dependency carries a second-order risk beyond simple customer concentration: because many of its buy-side clients are active asset managers whose management fees are tied to assets under management, a continued industry-wide shift toward passive investing — which the 10-K flags explicitly — would reduce demand for FactSet's research, portfolio-construction and performance-analytics tools from exactly the client base that already supplies about 82% of Organic ASV. That risk compounds with the disclosed dependence on a single cloud-computing provider for the majority of infrastructure support, meaning a single vendor disruption could affect service delivery to a client base already concentrated by investment style.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

From FactSet Research Systems Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 3, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 17, 202676d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.57)
High-quality business
Risks
Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: buy-side clients (82.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$8.9B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn23.2%
ROE27.0%
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta0.71
Dividend1.86%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.94bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAmericas65%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from the Americas represented 65% of total revenues during fiscal 2025.'
  • HIGHCustomerbuy-side clients82%
    10-K Item 1: 'Buy-side clients accounted for approximately 82% of our Organic ASV as of August 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliercloud computing provider
    10-K Item 1: 'one supplier provided the majority of our cloud computing support for fiscal 2025'
  • LOWSuppliertwo data suppliers
    10-K Item 1: 'two data suppliers each representing more than 10% of our total data costs during fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Effective April 13, 2026, CFO Helen Shan transitions out of her role and becomes eligible for severance under the Executive Severance Plan. Joshua Warren, former CFO of Envestnet (2023-2025), was appointed as her successor effective the same date. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.1
Revenue Growth
4.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.1
Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
2.5
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $207.96Resistance $264.37

Price Targets

$233
$259
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-17 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FDS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $250.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $259.08 (+3.6%), stop $232.58 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $259.08 (+3.6% upside). Target $259.08 (+3.6%), stop $232.58 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $232.58.

What are the risks of investing in FDS?

Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: buy-side clients (82.0%).

Is FDS overvalued or undervalued?

FactSet Research Systems Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FDS?

27 analysts cover FDS with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $251.

What does FactSet Research Systems Inc. do?FactSet Research Systems is a global financial digital platform and enterprise-solutions provider delivering data,...

FactSet Research Systems is a global financial digital platform and enterprise-solutions provider delivering data, analytics and AI-powered technology to roughly 9,000 clients and 237,000 investment professionals across Americas, EMEA and Asia Pacific segments. The Americas generated 65% of fiscal 2025 revenue, EMEA 25% and Asia Pacific 10%, with buy-side clients (asset managers, wealth managers, hedge funds) representing about 82% of Organic ASV and sell-side clients the remaining 18%.

Related stocks: ICE (Intercontinental Exchange Inc.) · MORN (Morningstar, Inc.) · TRU (TransUnion) · NDAQ (Nasdaq, Inc.) · MSCI (MSCI Inc.)
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