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EPRTEssential Properties Realty TruHold6.1·$30.40-1.55%
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Essential Properties Realty Tru (EPRT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 9.8%.

Essential Properties Realty Trust is an internally managed REIT that acquires and manages single-tenant net-leased properties for middle-market service and experience-based businesses across 48 states. As of December 31, 2025, it owned 2,300 properties with $555M annualized base... Read more

$30.40+9.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.43%
IncomeYield4.15%(5y avg 4.07%)Payout96.06%
Stop $29.13Target $33.39(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$37.10+22.0%20 analysts
$33.39our TP
$30.40price
$37.10mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 9.8%. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.3
P/E (Fwd)22.1
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn43.5%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth22.8%
Beta0.90
Dividend4.15%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Texas (12.7%), Florida (7.4%), Georgia (6.5%), Ohio (5.4%) and Wisconsin (4.6%)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    CFO Robert W. Salisbury's employment agreement terms disclosed via 8-K/A. He was previously appointed effective January 1, 2026; agreement provides $475K base salary, 125% target bonus, and term through May 7, 2030.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.46Resistance $31.60

Price Targets

$29
$33
A.Upside+9.8%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts26
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$37

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPRT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 9.8%. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $33.39 (+9.8%), stop $29.13 (−4.4%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.39 (+9.8% upside). Target $33.39 (+9.8%), stop $29.13 (−4.4%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $29.13.

What are the risks of investing in EPRT?

Thin upside margin: 9.8%.

Is EPRT overvalued or undervalued?

Essential Properties Realty Tru trades at a P/E of 24.3 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EPRT?

26 analysts cover EPRT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Essential Properties Realty Tru do?Essential Properties Realty Trust is an internally managed REIT that acquires and manages single-tenant net-leased...

Essential Properties Realty Trust is an internally managed REIT that acquires and manages single-tenant net-leased properties for middle-market service and experience-based businesses across 48 states. As of December 31, 2025, it owned 2,300 properties with $555M annualized base rent and 99.7% occupancy, with no single tenant exceeding 3.4% of ABR.

Related stocks: FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · SKT (Tanger Inc.)
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