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EMREmerson Electric CompanySell5.4·$139.05-0.34%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Emerson Electric carries exceptional business quality — free cash flow at 134% of net income, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and three beats plus one in-line quarter with no misses — but the stock has run to within 0.8% of the analyst price target, leaving minimal near-term upside; existing holders have a well-supported position while fresh entry requires patience for a better setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Generation QualityStable
  • Consistent Earnings Delivery No MissesStable
  • Near Target Limits Fresh EntryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Emerson Electric Company (EMR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $139.05, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 6.4%.

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process,... Read more

$139.05+6.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#25 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.20%
IncomeYield1.60%(5y avg 2.02%)Payout50.12%sustainable
Stop $132.33Target $148.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$164.47+18.3%27 analysts
$148.02our TP
$139.05price
$164.47mean
$104
$203

Sell if holding. At $139.05, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.4%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.2
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$77.9B
EV/EBITDA15.3
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.60%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV43%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Missouri | 1-278 | 43-0259330 --------------------------------- (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | ------------------- (Commission | --------------------------- (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
4.8
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $136.42Resistance $152.88

Price Targets

$132
$148
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $139.05, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $132.33. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.02 (+6.5% upside). Prior stop was $132.33. Stop-loss: $132.33.

What are the risks of investing in EMR?

Thin upside margin: 6.4%; Negative momentum.

Is EMR overvalued or undervalued?

Emerson Electric Company trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMR?

34 analysts cover EMR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Emerson Electric Company do?Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that...

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers optimize operations, protect personnel, reduce emissions and achieve their sustainability goals.

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