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EMREmerson Electric CompanyHold5.9·$147.94+2.10%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Emerson Electric carries exceptional business quality — free cash flow at 134% of net income, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and three beats plus one in-line quarter with no misses — but the stock has run to within 0.8% of the analyst price target, leaving minimal near-term upside; existing holders have a well-supported position while fresh entry requires patience for a better setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Generation QualityStable
  • Consistent Earnings Delivery No MissesDeteriorating
  • Near Target Limits Fresh EntryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Emerson Electric Company (EMR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $147.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process,... Read more

$147.94-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#24 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.95%
IncomeYield1.53%(5y avg 2.01%)Payout50.12%sustainable
Stop $139.68Target $146.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$163.54+10.5%27 analysts
$146.20our TP
$147.94price
$163.54mean
$104
$203

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $147.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.2
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$82.9B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.53%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV45%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Missouri | 1-278 | 43-0259330 --------------------------------- (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | ------------------- (Commission | --------------------------- (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
8.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
4.4
Quality Rank
5.9
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $133.55Resistance $149.18

Price Targets

$140
$146
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $147.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $146.20 (-1.2%), stop $139.68 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $146.20 (-0.5% upside). Target $146.20 (-1.2%), stop $139.68 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $139.68.

What are the risks of investing in EMR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is EMR overvalued or undervalued?

Emerson Electric Company trades at a P/E of 34.2 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EMR?

34 analysts cover EMR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Emerson Electric Company do?Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that...

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers optimize operations, protect personnel, reduce emissions and achieve their sustainability goals.

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