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EMREmerson Electric CompanyHold5.6·$152.46+1.49%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Emerson Electric carries exceptional business quality — free cash flow at 134% of net income, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and three beats plus one in-line quarter with no misses — but the stock has run to within 0.8% of the analyst price target, leaving minimal near-term upside; existing holders have a well-supported position while fresh entry requires patience for a better setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Generation QualityStable
  • Consistent Earnings Delivery No MissesDeteriorating
  • Near Target Limits Fresh EntryImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Emerson Electric Company (EMR) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process,... Read more

$152.46+1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#24 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.42%
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 1.99%)Payout47.98%sustainable
Stop $145.06Target $154.63(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$171.81+12.7%27 analysts
$154.63our TP
$152.46price
$171.81mean
$104
$205

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.9
P/E (Fwd)20.7
Mkt Cap$83.8B
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.49%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV35%normal
Max Pain$195+27.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $146.35Resistance $165.79

Price Targets

$145
$155
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $154.63 (+1.4%), stop $145.06 (−5.1%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $154.63 (+1.5% upside). Target $154.63 (+1.4%), stop $145.06 (−5.1%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $145.06.

What are the risks of investing in EMR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is EMR overvalued or undervalued?

Emerson Electric Company trades at a P/E of 32.9 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EMR?

34 analysts cover EMR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $172.

What does Emerson Electric Company do?Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that...

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers optimize operations, protect personnel, reduce emissions and achieve their sustainability goals.

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